Spurs vs 76ers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Harris Has Eyes for the Rim, Not Teammates

This matchup will feature two start bigs, but our NBA picks are more focused on what Tobias Harris can do for the Sixers against San Antonio. We expect him to have plenty of open shots, which could hamper his ability to pile up the assists.

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst
Jan 22, 2024 • 14:53 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs will travel to Wells Fargo Center to take on Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers, and I have you covered with my best bet from this matchup using the latest NBA odds.

While Embiid and Wembanyama are two of the most entertaining big men to watch in the NBA, I'm going to have you locked in on a different player. The name of the game is to win units, and I see an edge with this player's assists prop.

Find out who I'm betting on in my free NBA picks for the Spurs vs. 76ers on January 22.

Spurs vs 76ers odds

Spurs vs 76ers predictions

When handicapping this matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Philadelphia 76ers, almost everything revolves around whether we'll see Joel Embiid suit up. Based on the movements we're seeing in the market for the player props and the spread, I would say Embiid is playing tonight.

There has been a lot of chatter about whether Embiid will even be eligible to win the NBA MVP as Philly is focused on winning a title, but I think this narrative might be a bit overblown. Yes, he'll miss some games for rest, but he just came back from injury and played both sets of back-to-back games in the same week.

Tobias Harris — whose assist line is often in the 2.5 window playing alongside Embiid — is trading with an assist total of 3.5 that has heavy juice on the Over.  

In the four games Harris played with Embiid from January 15 to January 20, the Sixers PF only averaged 4.7 potential assists per game. That's a really low number when you need four assists to clear the total and the Over is trading with heavy juice (-155).

Harris' total should begin to work its way back down to the 2.5 number, but I'll gladly take the sportsbooks up on the 3.5 at plus money for the Under until they make that adjustment — especially against the Spurs.

The 76ers' guards will be doing a ton of drive and kick when they get into the lane because of Victor Wembanyama, meaning we should see a ton of corner 3-pointers from Harris. Philly will want to utilize Harris' shooting to help space the floor and draw Wembanyama out of the lane as well.

I expect we'll see Harris more in a scoring role and on the receiving end of those potential assists, which is why I like the Under on this total. He's projected to have 3.5 assists tonight, which means we can price the Under 3.5 line at -120.

My best bet: Harris Under 3.5 assists (+125 at bet365) 50% boost available

Spurs vs 76ers same-game parlay

Tobias Harris Under 3.5 assists

Harris Over 16.5 points

Harris Over 1.5 made threes

30% boost available

I hope you weren't planning on watching Embiid or Wembanyama while taking in this game, because it will be impossible not to focus on Harris with this many bets on him.

I highlighted in the best bet why I like Harris to go Under on his assists, but the Under on his assists total doesn't mean I think Harris will have a bad game all around: it's more a play on how I think the Philadelphia's offense will attack San Antonio.

I think Harris will be on the receiving end of a ton of potential assists on Monday as a corner 3-point shooter or even as a cutting dunker. I'd be shocked if Harris isn't used to space the floor and pull Wembanyama out of the lane to open up driving lanes for Tyrese Maxey, who can then dish to Harris if need be.

You could make the argument to include the Over on Maxey's assists prop as well in this same game parlay, but I personally prefer to roll with the all-Harris version that I built because Maxey won't be the only player looking his way when they get in the lane against Wemby.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Spurs vs 76ers spread and Over/Under analysis

The 76ers opened as 14-point favorites over the Spurs at FanDuel and are still trading at that number. We did see this line drop down to -13.5 at FanDuel, but it was immediately bet back up to -14. 

The total opened at 238.5 at DraftKings, and we have seen it drop by 1.5 points down to 237. The total did get as low as 236.5 at DraftKings, but after touching 236.5, it was bet back up to 237, which is a consensus number in the market at the moment.

Spurs vs 76ers betting trend to know

The 76ers have hit the moneyline in 55 of their last 81 games (+25.40 Units / 13% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. 76ers.

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Spurs vs 76ers game info

Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Date: Monday, January 22, 2024
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports SW-SA, NBCS-Philadelphia

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Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon immediately turned his attention to the NBA when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 14 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve and, when possible, lets the numbers do the talking.

Jon hosts the NBA Prop Picks show powered by EV Analytics, which airs on the Covers YouTube channel, and he is also a regular guest on Before You Bet with Joe Osborne.

Jon keeps his eye on the NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10-plus sportsbooks to always shop around for the best price for whichever bet he is looking to place. If there are NBA games on for that current day, you can guarantee that Jon woke up way too early, has already had some caffeine, and is ready to begin placing bets on NBA player props.

His favorite sportsbooks are Pinnacle, Caesars, and Betano, with the first two being where he places the majority of his bets, while Betano sneaks into the top three because of their creative futures markets for the NBA.

Before joining Covers in December 2023, Jon worked as a sports betting analyst at Sportsbook Review. He also holds a Bachelor's degree from the University of Windsor, where he studied Human Kinetics with a focus on Sports Studies.

Jon's top piece of advice for sports bettors: "Any outcome is possible in sports betting; you're just hunting for one that is more probable than the sportsbooks have it priced."

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