Spurs vs Thunder Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Thunder have looked dominant during their 3-0 start, and with a struggling Spurs team coming to town tonight, we expect that dominance to continue.

Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst

Oct 30, 2024 • 14:44 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs

OKC

53 %

47 %

EXPERT PICK - SPREAD

Oklahoma City -12.0 (-112)

Read Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder NBA

Photo By - Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Oklahoma City Thunder look like the most impressive team in the NBA to start this season. The new-look San Antonio Spurs do not look to be of that quality, no matter who their superstar might be.

Victor Wembanyama makes any game winnable for San Antonio, but there's no logic to doubting OKC until some flaw is shown on the court.

My Spurs vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks will take the easy route of betting on the home favorite, mostly because Oklahoma City has looked that dominant thus far. Tip comes at 9:30 ET on Wednesday, October 30.

Spurs vs Thunder prediction

My best bet
Thunder -12 (-112 at FanDuel)

My analysis
Sure, the Oklahoma City Thunder have played only one stiff foe, and even that one has looked lackluster thus far this season. How much can be gleaned from beating up on the flawed Nuggets, the should-be-tanking Bulls, and the lost-in-the-wilderness Hawks?

By no means should anyone crown Oklahoma City as the Western Conference champ already, but it needs to be acknowledged that the Thunder are not only 3-0 outright and 3-0 against the spread, but they are also exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by 13.3 points per game.

Oklahoma City was expected to be the class of the West, but the Thunder might be even better than that.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have disappointed in two of three games, both outright and against the spread. Perhaps most notably, Victor Wembanyama has averaged 20 points per game, his scoring deflated by going just 4-for-18 from beyond the arc (22.2%).

The second-year star is not defined by his 3-point shooting, but when he's missing from deep, it unwinds San Antonio’s offense, especially when he is not cleaning up on the boards, too. In two of three games, Wembanyama has grabbed only single-digit rebounds.

He will find his own dominance this season. Do not doubt that. The Frenchman is too good not to.

He hasn’t yet, however, and tonight will not be the moment that dominance arrives this season. Oklahoma City is already flexing its own. The Thunder lead the NBA in defensive rating this season — hardly a surprise. By 8.5 points per 100 possessions — there’s the surprise.

That OKC defense is too good, no flaws have been found in the Thunder approach yet, and even this lofty spread does not scare off a value bet. San Antonio has not looked potent enough to cause even that minimal stress.

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Spurs vs Thunder same-game parlay (SGP)

Thunder -12

Under 221.5

Victor Wembanyama Under 23.5 points

+341 at FanDuel

Each of these teams have played three games this season, with two apiece going Under their totals. On one side of the ball, credit the Thunder defense. On the other side, fault San Antonio's offense, No. 24 in offensive rating thus far.

Some of that ties to Wembanyama’s struggles, and with Chet Holmgren looking a bit stronger in 2024, Wembanyama should not be expected to break through tonight.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Spurs vs Thunder odds

Spurs vs Thunder live odds

Get the latest Spurs vs. Thunder NBA odds.

Spurs vs Thunder opening odds

Spread: San Antonio +13.5 | Oklahoma City -13.5
Moneyline: San Antonio +600 | Oklahoma City -900
Over/Under: Over 222.5 | Under 222.5

Spurs vs Thunder spread and Over/Under analysis

The Thunder opened as 13- or 13.5-point favorites, depending on your sportsbook, late on Tuesday, a number that dipped to -12.5 on Wednesday morning.
That spread dipping is rather counter-intuitive. Neither team is on a back-to-back. In fact, OKC has an extra day of rest.
This total opened at 222.5 on Tuesday evening and jumped down to 220.5 just before midnight.

Spurs vs Thunder trend

The Thunder went 3-1 ATS in this matchup last season, exceeding expectations by an average of 21.3 points in those three wins. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Thunder.

Spurs vs Thunder game info

Location:	Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date:	Wednesday, 10-30-2024
Tip-off:	9:30 p.m. ET
TV:	ESPN

Spurs vs Thunder latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer

Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.