The Michigan State Spartans can still qualify for a bowl game if they win their final two games, starting Friday night against the Purdue Boilermakers.
If MSU is serious, they should roll — Purdue has lost nine straight and is winless in Big Ten play. However, these teams rank in the Bottom 3 in conference scoring, and our Purdue vs. Michigan State props need to be sharp, as offense may be tough to come by.
Purdue vs Michigan State props for FOX Friday Night Football
Marsh Over 54.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel) 
Card Under 167.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel) - Lynch-Adams Over 44.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Picks made on 11-21.
Read full analysis of each pick.
College football player props this week
Prop bet #1: Nick Marsh Over 54.5 receiving yards
Best odds: -114 at FanDuel
Michigan State Spartans freshman Nick Marsh has been on a good run. After starting the year with 30 receiving yards or fewer in three of four games, he’s averaging nearly 70 yards per over the last five to go along with two touchdown grabs.
Last time out, he had four catches for 58 yards against Illinois, and Marsh has had 58+ yards in four of his last five games. His receiving line Friday is a gettable 54.5.
Purdue’s pass defense has been a train wreck, ranking second-last in the conference, allowing 252.4 yards per game. That puts Marsh at the top of my college football picks.
Prop bet #2: Hudson Card Under 167.5 passing yards
Best odds: -114 at FanDuel
It’s been a forgettable season for Purdue Boilermakers quarterback Hudson Card. The last two weeks have been downright cruel, as they’ve had to battle heavy hitters Penn State (9-1) and Ohio State (9-1), getting outscored 94-10 in the process.
Card just hasn’t been able to get the passing game going, with Purdue only gaining 181.1 yards per game through the air. Topping his passing yards line of 167.5 might be a challenge; he’s only gone Over that figure twice in the last seven games.
The Spartans are 41st in the nation, allowing just under 200 passing yards per game, which ranks eighth inside the Big Ten.
Prop bet #3: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams Over 44.5 rushing yards
Best odds: -114 at FanDuel
The Boilermakers allow the most rushing yards per game in the Big Ten. How bad is it? They're giving up 203.3 yards per contest, with second-last Wisconsin more than 40 yards per game off that pace.
The Spartans and Kay-Ron Lynch Adams have not been great running the ball, which is also a byproduct of falling behind and having to abandon that part of the game. Adams has had just 14 carries in the last two games for 36 yards, and he’s been held Under 44.5 yards five times in the last six games.
More touches would help: the three times he’s gotten 15 touches, he’s cruised over this total, but with 10 carries or fewer, he’s accomplished the feat three times in seven other games. Look for MSU to be a little more committed to pounding the rock on Friday.
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