Toledo vs Akron Prediction and Picks for College Football Week 14

Toledo is coming off its worst scoring output of the season, scoring in single digits for the only time. Fortunately, the Rockets face one of the worst defenses around in the Akron Zips and should have no problem covering tonight's spread.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Nov 26, 2024 • 08:19 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 8 hrs
AKR
36 %
TOL
64 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Toledo -8.5 (-105) Toledo -8.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Jerjuan Newton Toledo Rockets NCAA College Football
Photo By - Imagn Images.

It’s the end of the road for the Akron Zips, who wrap up a disappointing season when they host the Toledo Rockets at InfoCision Stadium.

Toledo, who has clinched a bowl berth, will be using its regular season finale as a tune-up and is favored by 8.5 points. My Toledo vs Akron predictions expect chalk to win out tonight.

The Rockets' scoring ability highlights our college football picks for Tuesday, November 26 with kickoff set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Toledo vs Akron prediction and best bet

My best bet
Toledo -8.5 (-105 at FanDuel)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

Toledo owns the second-best passing offense in the MAC, producing 242.3 yards per game, with a league-best 24 TD tosses.

But the passing game has looked stale the last two weeks. It wasn’t a problem when the Rockets ran for 159 yards and two scores in a 37-10 blowout over Central Michigan and Tucker Gleason threw for just 136 yards.

However, it was quite noticeable last game, when Gleason again threw for 136 yards and the rush attack could only muster 42 yards in a lopsided loss against the Bobcats.

They should be able to move both in the right direction against the Akron Zips, who surrender 33.6 points per game (10th in the MAC).

The Zips allow 227.2 pass yards per game, and the 22 TD passes allowed are the third most in the conference. Akron’s rush defense is also 10th, allowing a hefty 182.7 yards on the ground per game, with 23 rushing scores against on the season.

Before the Kent State win, the Zips had lost six of seven, and only one of those defeats was by single digits — a 27-20 defeat to Bowling Green.

Five of those losses were to MAC opponents and the one thing they have in common? All were above Akron in the standings, as is Toledo.

MACtion has been unpredictable on Tuesdays, but I don’t see much drama here. Look for Toledo to take care of business.

Toledo vs Akron same-game parlay (SGP)

Toledo -8.5

Jerjuan Newton Over 56.5 receiving yards

Jordon Simmons Over 61.5 rushing yards

After facing off against two of the Top 5 passing defenses in the MAC over the last two weeks, receiver Jerjuan Newton should be able to find more space against the Zips. 

While he’s gone Under 56.5 yards receiving in each of his last three starts, he breezed by those totals in the previous four, which included three games with 100+ receiving yards. 

In Akron’s last five losses, no fewer than nine pass catchers have topped this total against the Zips’ D.

And we’ll wrap with Jordon Simmons, whose 61.5 rush total might be discounted because he just ran for 113 yards in a blowout win over Kent and its awful run defense.

However, Simmons has been good for a while, hitting the Over on this total in five of his last six games, including three teams ranked in the Top 6 in run defense in the MAC.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.


More college football picks and odds from Covers


Toledo vs Akron odds

Toledo vs Akron live odds

Toledo vs Akron opening odds

  • Toledo vs. Akron spread: Akron +8.5
  • Toledo vs. Akron moneyline: Toledo -300, Akron +250
  • Toledo vs. Akron Over/Under: 48.5

Toledo vs Akron spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Toledo has won four straight over Akron, though the teams haven’t played since 2021.
  • Akron is 3-1-0 against the spread in its last four, two of those wins as an underdog.
  • The Under has hit in three of the Rockets’ last four games.
  • The Over has cashed in four of the Zips last five games.

Toledo vs Akron betting trend to know

Akron has been a home dog three times this season, going 2-1-0 ATS. Find more college football betting trends for Toledo vs Akron.

Toledo vs Akron game info

Location: InfoCision Stadium, Akron, OH
Date: Tuesday, 11-26-2024
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2

Toledo vs Akron latest injuries

Toledo vs Akron weather

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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