The biggest day in football is almost here as Super Bowl 59 between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles kicks off Sunday, February 9 at 6:30 p.m. ET.
To help you get ready, our team of NFL experts, armed with years of handicapping experience, has analyzed every angle of the matchup. We've gathered their top bets, sharpest insights, and most confident picks all in one place — so before kickoff, you’ll have everything you need to make the smartest NFL picks on the biggest game of the year.
Chiefs vs Eagles player prop bets
Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 pass completions (+100 at Caesars)
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will need to attack with short and intermediate passes early and often to move the K.C. offense against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Philly finished the regular season ranked second in PFF run defense while allowing the second-lowest EPA per rush, and the Eagles also allowed the fourth-lowest yards per carry to opposing running backs. The Philadelphia pass defense also allowed the fewest yards per attempt, ranked first in PFF coverage defense, and surrendered the fewest passing completions of 20 yards or more.
More completions for shorter gains is exactly what we’re looking for from Mahomes in Super Bowl 59.
-Covers Betting Analyst Neil Parker
Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-115 at Caesars)
Jalen Hurts has rumbled for 64 rushing touchdowns in his career, with several of those scores powered by the vaunted “Tush Push”.
Very few defenses have been able to stop it, especially when the Philadelphia Eagles are just outside of the end zone. Should Philadelphia find its way into those spots in Super Bowl LIX, you can be sure Hurts is getting his number called.
This year, he scored at least one rushing touchdown in 12 of his 17 appearances during the regular season and playoffs, and Hurts is coming off a massive day in the NFC title game.
-Covers Betting Analyst Jason Logan
Travis Kelce anytime TD (+120 at Caesars)
Whether you like him or not, there's no denying Travis Kelce's spot among the best tight ends in NFL history.
He's been an ever-present for the Chiefs in good times and in bad, and it helps he's developed an unmatched chemistry with Mahomes. While Kelce didn't have a great regular season by his lofty standards, he tends to show up when the games matter most.
Kelce has hauled in nine passes for 136 yards and one score in two playoff games, and he's led the team in receiving in each of the last two Super Bowls (scoring once).
If the Chiefs are going to win, Kelce is going to play a big role, and at a standalone price of +120, you have to play it.
-Covers NFL Editor Chris Vasile
A.J. Brown Over 71.5 receiving yards (-125 at Caesars)
The Eagles' passing game has been limited due to game script and weather in several contests this season. They've also leaned heavily on superstar running back Saquon Barkley, but I'm expecting the Kansas City Chiefs to focus on containing the run, which should open things up for Philadelphia's aerial attack.
A.J. Brown has played six games where the Eagles have thrown the ball 25+ times, and he has averaged 10 targets and 100 yards per game in those contests.
The Chiefs also play man coverage at a Top 10 rate and Brown leads the NFL with 4.04 yards per route run against man thanks to a sky-high 37.4% target rate. Brown had six receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown when these teams clashed in the Super Bowl two years ago, and I'm counting on him to have success against at SB 59.
-Covers Betting Analyst Rohit Ponnaiya
Super Bowl touchdown props
Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown (+120 at Caesars)
Kareem Hunt is the Kansas City Chiefs’ running back of choice inside the red zone and it’s paying off.
He’s scored a touchdown in each postseason win — a 12-yard run versus Houston and a 1-yard push vs. Buffalo — which gives him one TD in each of his last four starts going back to Week 16.
Those scores also extended Hunt’s playoff touchdown streak, with the RB finding the end zone in all six career postseason games.
-Covers Betting Analyst Jason Logan
DeVonta Smith anytime touchdown (+235 at Caesars)
DeVonta Smith is third in the Philadelphia Eagles’ pecking order when it comes to passing plays, behind A.J. Brown and tight end Dallas Goedert.
However, the slender WR has a knack for stepping up in crunch time. With the Super Bowl LIX spread at 1.5 points, this could be a close game to the finish.
Smith scored three of his eight total touchdowns in the fourth quarter this year and his splits in close games in the final frame see a spike in his involvement.
-Covers Betting Analyst Jason Logan
Covers Super Bowl betting tools
Super Bowl Novelty props
Number of times Taylor Swift is shown live during Super Bowl 59: Over 6.5 (-125 at Fanduel)
This may be one of my favorite Taylor Swift prop bets to make because the line isn't juiced to the max and there is actual history to go off of.
Whether you love her or hate her, there's no denying she's one for the spotlight no matter what she's doing, or where she is.
Last year, when the Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers, she was shown on TV for just 54 seconds spanning the entire game. While that may not seem like much, the camera panned to her 12 times, which is double what this line currently sits at.
Everyone loves to keep up with celebrities and TV producers have a knack for giving people what they want. Take the Over 6.5 at -125.
-Covers NFL Editor Chris Vasile
Gatorade Color prop: 0.5 units on purple (+225 at BetMGM), 0.5 units on yellow/green/lime (+250 at BetMGM)
When Gatorade color odds for Super Bowl 59 first hit the board, red/pink was the favorite at +250, followed closely by yellow/green/lime (+300) and purple (+350). Early money has come in on purple and yellow/green/lime, separating those two colors from the rest of the pack while red/pink has tumbled all the way to +650.
Yellow/green/lime coincides with Philadelphia's team color, while orange is similar to the Chiefs' color scheme. Orange has also been used in five of the last 15 years, including when the Chiefs won it all in 2020. That might make orange seem like the value play, but it's tough to go against what we've seen in the last couple of years.
Whether you bet on purple or yellow/green/lime will really come down to which team you think will win. But with both options available at better than +200, it makes sense to put half a unit on each side and hope that neither team decides to switch things up.
-Covers Betting Analyst Rohit Ponnaiya
National Anthem length Under 120.5 seconds (-120 at BetMGM)
Do not fret too much when he takes a long time to commence singing. The betting industry standard is to time only from the first touch of “O say can you see” to the final note of “brave.” A Juilliard-trained pianist and New Orleans native, Batiste may dazzle before a word is sung, but once that begins, he has a track record of being relatively quick.
Batiste finished the National Anthem in 1 minute and 46 seconds at the 2017 U.S. Open. At that same year’s NBA All-Star Game, Batiste needed just 1 minute and 29 seconds to finish the anthem.
The greatest risk to this Under will be Batiste adding a musical interlude to the anthem, but logic expects that to come before he even begins singing. A dramatic introduction will be fitting for a performance on the biggest stage in Batiste’s hometown.
-Covers Betting Analyst Douglas Farmer
Super Bowl score prediction
Score prediction: Chiefs 26 - Eagles 23 (+10000 at Caesars)
The Super Bowl hasn’t often landed on common NFL final scores in recent years, and Kansas City topped Philadelphia 38-35 in Super Bowl 57. Additionally, the Chiefs and Eagles respectively averaged 27.5 and 35.0 points per game while allowing 21.5 and 18.3 per during the regular season.
Philadelphia’s postseason scoring is skewed by its 55-23 trouncing of the Washington Commanders in the NFC Conference Championship, while Kansas City‘s regular-season success translated to the playoffs with a 23-14 win over the Houston Texans and 32-29 victory over the Buffalo Bills.
I’m anticipating the Chiefs winning a close game, finishing right around the total of 49, and I’m also expecting to see a unique score when it’s all said and done. Both coaches are aggressive, and both defenses are solid. A successful — or failed — two-point conversation could make a huge difference in the late-game strategy and final score, and I prefer to take a true longshot due to the unpredictability of this market.
-Covers Betting Analyst Neil Parker
Super Bowl defensive prop bets
Nolan Smith 1+ sack (+106 at Caesars)
Nolan Smith led the Philadelphia Eagles with 6.5 sacks during the regular season, which is particularly impressive when you consider he didn't start till midseason. Smith averaged 26 snaps per game through his first 10 games of the season but has logged 51.7 snaps per game over his last nine contests.
Smith has picked up a sack in each of Philadelphia's three postseason games and has logged 1+ sacks in seven of his last 10 contests overall.
The Chiefs are a middle-of-the-pack team when it comes to sacks allowed per game (2.4), and Smith will have a matchup advantage against right tackle Jawaan Taylor. Taylor is a 330-pound monster, but he doesn't have the agility or foot speed to handle Smith, who runs a 4.39 40-yard dash.
-Covers Betting Analyst Rohit Ponnaiya
