Kickoff is closing in, but there's still time to get your Super Bowl 59 player prop bets down!
Covers betting analysts Jason Logan, Rohit Ponnaiya, and Neil Parker offer their favorite NFL picks for Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, and A.J. Brown ahead of Chiefs vs. Eagles on Sunday, February 9.
Chiefs vs Eagles prop picks
Chiefs vs Eagles expert picks & Super Bowl predictions
Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 pass completions (+100 at Caesars)
Neil Parker believes the Philadelphia Eagles will severely limit Patrick Mahomes' downfield options, meaning the Kansas City Chiefs QB will have to settle for short, accurate passes in order to succeed.
"Don’t be mistaken, Philly limiting both the Kansas City running game and long receptions are a positive for this wager, and Mahomes finished the regular season with a career-low 6.8 yards per attempt and career-high 67.5 completion percentage," he says. "More completions for shorter gains is exactly what we’re looking for from Mahomes in Super Bowl 59."
Neil also likes the fact the three-time Super Bowl MVP winner has his full complement of weapons tonight.
"For most of the season, wide receiver Marquise Brown and running back Isiah Pacheco were out of action, and the two-week pause will provide K.C. head coach Andy Reid oodles of time to ensure Mahomes is positioned for success," he explains.
Pick: Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-115 at Caesars)
Jason Logan is keen on a healthy Jalen Hurts finding the end zone in Super Bowl 59, possibly via the "tush push."
"He scored three touchdowns in the one-sided win over the Washington Commanders, with two of those TDs coming on one-yard 'runs.' Hurts also scrambled for a score on a shifty nine-yard-designed keeper in the red zone," he says. "It was that play that put any doubts about the health of Hurts’ knee to rest, following his injury in the Divisional Round."
Hurts has now had two weeks to strengthen that knee, which make Jason feel even better about this pick.
"The Kansas City Chiefs not only have to worry about those short-yardage spots but also Hurts breaking off big runs for touchdowns as well," he says.
Pick: Saquon Barkley Under 27.5 first-quarter rushing yards (-115 at Caesars)
Jason Logan believes Saquon Barkley will get off to a slow start in the Big Game tonight.
"The Chiefs’ run defense is nothing to write home about, especially after allowing bigger gains on the ground in the two playoff games," he says. "However, while KC ranks middle of the road for overall EPA allowed per handoff and opponent success rate per run, it sits No. 7 and No. 4 in those advanced metrics in the first quarter."
Jason thinks Kansas City’s offense will also temper Barkley’s early output.
"Patrick Mahomes & Co. run a very plodding pace and can chew up the first-quarter clock," he asserts. "The Chiefs will have a well-scripted opening drive and with the way this offense can convert third downs (third-best conversion rate) and extend drives, Philadelphia may not see the football much in the first quarter."
Pick: A.J. Brown Over 71.5 receiving yards (-125 at Caesars)
Rohit Ponnaiya sees A.J. Brown getting up for the Big Game and helping out the Eagles offense.
"He looked more like usual self in the NFC Championship, reeling in six of eight targets for 86 yards and a score," he says. "With the extra week off before the Super Bowl, Brown should be closer to full strength. Playing inside a dome will make things more conducive for the Philadelphia Eagles to throw the ball, too."
Keep in mind that the Eagles passing game has been limited due to game script and weather in several contests this season. They've also leaned heavily on superstar running back Saquon Barkley.
"I'm expecting the Kansas City Chiefs to focus on containing the run," he says, "which should open things up for Philadelphia's aerial attack."
Chiefs vs Eagles odds
Chiefs vs Eagles live odds
Chiefs vs Eagles opening odds
- Spread: Kansas City -2 (-110) | Philadelphia +2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kansas City -130 | Philadelphia +110
- Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
New users: Get up to $1,059 in bonus bet insurance at Caesars
Bet on the NFL Playoffs at Caesars Sportsbook, which is offering new users up to $1,059 in bonus bets (if your first bet doesn't win)!
Sign up now to join, or learn more with our comprehensive Caesars sportsbook review.
Eligible U.S. locations only. Also, see our full list of Caesars bonus codes.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How to watch Chiefs vs Eagles
| Location: | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| Date: | Sunday, 2-9-2025 |
| Kickoff: | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
Chiefs vs Eagles latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
