It's Super Bowl Sunday, and if you've yet to get your bets in, I'm here to help with my BetMGM same-game parlay picks for the Big Game!
I believe Jalen Hurts will break the plane for the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX, while Philly TE Dallas Goedert shines. My NFL picks are also fading a receiving prop for Chiefs TE Travis Kelce.
Chiefs vs Eagles Same-Game Parlay (SGP) for Super Bowl 59
Jalen Hurts anytime TD
Dallas Goedert 50+ receiving yards
Travis Kelce Under 62.5 receiving yards
BetMGM parlay picks for Chiefs vs Eagles
Jalen Hurts anytime TD
Jalen Hurts made three different trips to the end zone when the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs met in Super Bowl 57, and all three plays were for four yards or less. The "Tush Push" is very much in play when the Eagles get down to the goal line, which partially explains why the Hurts TD prop is paying just below even money on its own.
Hurts had a hat-trick of rushing touchdowns in the NFC Championship Game, shaking off knee injury concerns. He also had 14 rushing TDs in the regular season, and has averaged 9.6 carries per game across 18 total contests.
Dallas Goedert 50+ receiving yards
There are many bright spots on the Chiefs defense, which has done more than its fair share to drag K.C. to its third straight Super Bowl. However, the Achilles' Heel for this unit has been its ability, or lack thereof, to stop tight ends.
The Chiefs allowed 70.1 receiving yards per game to tight ends in the regular season, which ranked dead-last in the NFL. Though Kansas City allowed just 20 combined yards to the Bills' Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox in the AFC Championship Game, they were exposed by the Texans' Dalton Schultz to the tune of 64 yards in the Divisional Round.
Eagles TE Dallas Goedert has averaged 62.7 receiving yards per game in the playoffs on 15 total receptions (18 targets), crossing the 50-yard plateau twice and missing by three yards in the lone Under result.
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Travis Kelce Under 62.5 receiving yards
Travis Kelce has been feast-or-famine for most of this season, putting together three pairs of games with 70+ yards receiving while largely being silenced in the others. Even in the postseason, Kelce went for a season-best 117 yards vs. Houston before being held to just 19 yards by Buffalo.
Kelce has has 62 or fewer receiving yards in 10 of 18 games and takes on an Eagles stop unit that was tops in the NFL in ypg allowed to tight ends (34.8) in the regular season. The Commanders' Zach Ertz was able to beat this unit for 104 yards in the NFC Championship Game, but some of that yardage was earned in garbage time while coming at great expense to the rest of Washington's pass-catchers, as Ertz was targeted a staggering 16 times.
Meanwhile, Philly held Tyler Higbee to 54 yards and Tucker Kraft to 26 yards in their two earlier postseason contests.
The Chiefs don't have as good a receiving corps as the Commanders do, so my Super Bowl predictions believe the Eagles won't have to sell out to stop WRs and can devote more attention to Kelce here.
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