A highlight of the Super Bowl festivities each year is the Apple Music Halftime Show, where superstar rapper Kendrick Lamar will be performing.
Kendrick has no shortage of hits to choose from — and his mainstream popularity has likely never been higher — leaving many people to wonder "what will Kendrick Lamar's setlist be?"
His Over/Under for songs closed at a whopping -175 to the Over, so I'll pick 11-12 songs for my best Kendrick's setlist predictions, using Kalshi predictions and closing odds from "song to be performed" markets.
Be sure to check out our Kendrick Lamar Super Bowl odds & Halftime Show bets ahead of his heavily-hyped performance tonight.
Kendrick Lamar setlist predictions - Near locks
"Not Like Us"
- Album: GnX
- Kalshi probability: 91%
- Closing odds: OTB
Umm... yeah. The Drake-diss-turned-smash-single , which just won five Grammy Awards, is going to be performed. Possibly multiple times.
"tv off"
- Album: GnX
- Kalshi probability: 90%
- Closing odds: -1250
MUSTARRRRRRRRRRRD! This will also be a near-guarantee to appear.
"HUMBLE."
- Album: DAMN.
- Kalshi probability: 91%
- Closing odds: -1000
One of Kendrick's biggest hits from the 2017 album DAMN., this song also closed at multiple outlets as the favorite to be his first song.
"All the Stars"
- Album: Black Panther
- Kalshi probability: 91%
- Closing odds: -500
The signature track from the original Black Panther soundtrack, it not only is fitting for a Super Bowl (with all the stars) but also features his touring partner SZA, who is confirmed to be part of the halftime show.
"DNA"
- Album: DAMN.
- Kalshi probability: 83%
- Closing odds: -333
The other big-time single from DAMN., this has the energy to be part of the halftime show, if only to hear "I got I got I got."
"luther"
- Album: GnX
- Kalshi probability: 86%
- Closing odds: -333
Another recent hit, featuring SZA, this is a perfect track to feature in the calmer part of the show, breaking up the early energy and the late push.
"Squabble Up"
- Album: GnX
- Kalshi probability: N/A
- Closing odds: -1000
This is my personal favorite to be performed first... but it also could be done to set up "Not Like Us" (just like in the music video).
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Kendrick Lamar setlist predictions - The likelies
"Swimming Pools (Drank)"
- Album: good kid, m.A.A.d city
- Kalshi probability: N/A
- Closing odds: -200
"Family Ties"
- Album: The Melodic Blue (Baby Keem)
- Kalshi probability: N/A
- Closing odds: -143
This is technically a Baby Keem song (who is Kendrick's cousin), but Keem closed at -143 to appear on stage with Kendrick — and if he does, it's for this song.
"Money Trees"
- Album: good kid, m.A.A.d city
- Kalshi probability: 23%
- Closing odds: -167
"Alright"
- Album: To Pimp a Butterfly
- Kalshi probability: 37%
- Closing odds: +200
Yes, he performed this during his segment at the Super Bowl in L.A. a couple years ago... but it's a banger and would give him some representation from TPAB.