Noah Gray may be the backup tight end for the Kansas City Chiefs, but he is still very much part of this offense and will be involved in the Super Bowl gameplan. The great thing about Super Bowl odds is there are a load of options even for guys that are not the stars of the game.
Gray has already seen nine targets in these playoffs and averaged a sturdy 10.9 yards per reception this season. Even if his recent volume regresses, Gray can break off one long catch that could make bettors money on the NFL odds.
After looking at the Noah Gray odds, these are my favorite NFL picks surrounding the Kansas City tight end come February 11.
For more Super Bowl predictions, be sure to check out our Super Bowl 58 props and 49ers vs. Chiefs picks.
Noah Gray Super Bowl prop picks
- Gray + Jennings Under 3.5 total receptions
- Gray Over 11.5 receiving yards/Aiyuk Over 63.5 receiving yards
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Noah Gray Super Bowl prop pick
Noah Gray + Jauan Jennings Under 3.5 total receptions (-140)
Noah Gray has played 54.3% of the snaps for the Kansas City Chiefs this postseason. He has also seen 9.9% of the targets, which is nothing to sneeze at for bettors with a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes. Looking at the San Francisco 49ers’ defense, we may have some nice betting opportunities here.
The 49ers allowed nine catches for 97 yards on 13 targets in the NFC Championship game to Lions tight end Sam LaPorta. Reserve tight end Anthony Firkser also saw a target that resulted in an eight-yard catch. In the Divisional Round game against the Packers, they allowed Green Bay’s three tight ends to see 11 targets that resulted in seven catches for 27 yards and a touchdown.
I feel confident that Gray will see at least one target and most likely get a catch in this game. However, both his receptions and yardage props are sharply set at 1.5 receptions and 11.5 yards. The best lean I have there is on Gray Over 11.5 yards because he had 11 catches this season go for 12 or more yards and he could hit this on just one reception.
However, for my best bet on Gray, I am going to look at a different prop. FanDuel is offering a head-to-head against Jauan Jennings under “NFL Player Specials” in their app. This head-to-head is based solely on receptions and not receiving yards, and the reception total is sitting at 3.5. That seems like a high number for these two to eclipse.
Jennings’ numbers may be a little inflated due to the injury to Deebo Samuel in the game against the Packers. Jennings saw six targets that resulted in five catches for 61 yards. However, Jennings was put back in check in the NFC Championship game when a healthy Deebo returned, as he finished with one catch for eight yards on two targets.
Each of Jennings and Gray has their reception total set at 1.5, so you're getting an extra half-catch to the Under. I would lean towards betting the Under for each of their individual catch totals, so the combined wager is a best bet for me. I'd be surprised to see these two combine for 4+ receptions.
Prop: Noah Gray + Jauan Jennings Under 3.5 total receptions (-140 at FanDuel)
Noah Gray Super Bowl same-game parlay
Noah Gray Over 11.5 receiving yards
Brandon Aiyuk Over 63.5 receiving yards
Unfortunately, my best bet cannot be used in a same-game parlay, but I will use one of Gray's NFL player props I mentioned earlier to kick this one off.
While I don’t love Gray to rack up the catches, I could easily see him breaking this 11.5 yardage total in just one grab. This will probably be a big game for Travis Kelce and that will likely set up a big play for Gray at some point late in the game.
Finally, I will add in the guy that will see much more action in the 49ers’ passing game than Jennings, and that is Brandon Aiyuk. He has seen 14 targets in the two playoff games this season and even though he’s only caught six of those, they were big plays.
I expect at least one huge catch from Aiyuk that may see 30+ yards and his yardage total should be able to be met on just a few grabs.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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