Super Bowl Odds: Chiefs a 1-Point Favorite Over Eagles with One Day to Go

Kansas City remains favored to three-peat on the eve of Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 8, 2025 • 18:32 ET • 4 min read
Chris Jones Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones celebrating a sack.

We're 24 hours out from Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans, and betting lines have solidified after nearly two weeks of market action. This line is closer than ever to a pick'em, with the Kansas City Chiefs currently listed at -115 on the moneyline. 

When betting lines opened for this game immediately after the Conference Championships, the Chiefs were 1-point favorites with their moneyline price at -120 and the Over/Under at 48. Within hours, money on the Chiefs and the Over moved the spread to -2 and the ML to -130, with the total surging to 49.5.

However, after 12 days of betting action, we're almost right back to where we started with the Chiefs at -1 and the O/U at 48.5. With just a night's rest separating us from the big game, let's delve into the latest Super Bowl odds

Live 2025 Super Bowl odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Live odds below update every five minutes.

Chiefs hold steady at -1 despite money backing Eagles

The public has a slight lean towards the Philadelphia Eagles, with 52% of the spread bets backing the Eagles. Sharp money is also backing the Eagles on the spread, with 56% of the ATS handle now on Philadelphia.

That said, the line is still holding steady with the Kansas City Chiefs at -1 with even vig on either side.

Sharps like Chiefs but ML down to -115

Sharp money is still on Kansas City to win its fourth Super Bowl in six years. 56% of the moneyline handle is currently on the Chiefs, even though 53% of the tickets are on the Eagles.

Despite that, we've seen the moneyline come in a tad, with the Chiefs moving from -120 to -115 on Saturday.

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Late money on the Under 

Money predictably poured in on the Over during the first week of Super Bowl betting, and by February 3, 80% of bets and 79% of the handle was on the Over.

That said, books were reluctant to move the total above 49.5 and we've since seen money come in on the Under. As of Thursday, 72% of the handle is on the Over, a significant decline from Monday. The total at Caesars moved from 49 to 48.5 on Saturday, the shortest total since the opening line. 

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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