There has been no shortage of people tossing around Super Bowl player props to wager on, but we've got eight Super Bowl props you need to make ahead of kickoff.
Don't take my word for it, however... trust the numbers!
Our Covers NFL prop projections identified the best player props to bet on — and we've added some plus-money alt-total bets that also show value based on our Chiefs vs. Eagles projections.
8 must-bet Super Bowl player props
| Player | Prop |  |
|---|---|---|
 Jalen Hurts |
Over 37.5 rush yards | -115 |
| Jalen Hurts |
Over 212.5 pass yards | -125 |
| A.J. Brown |
Over 71.5 rec yards | -125 |
| Saquon Barkley |
Under 113.5 rush yards | -120 |
 Patrick Mahomes |
Under 29.5 rush yards | -110 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
Over 252.5 pass yards | -110 |
| Xavier Worthy |
Over 55.5 rec yards | -115 |
| Kareem Hunt |
Over 6.5 rec yards | -115 |
Click on each pick to see the projection.
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The best Super Bowl player props from Covers' prop projections
Jalen Hurts rushing yards
Prop: Over 37.5 yards (-115 at Caesars)
Projection: 50.8 yards
Covers' prop projections expect Jalen Hurts to use his legs, projecting him for north of 50 yards in the Big Game — something he did in the Divisional Round and the Super Bowl two years ago.
Alternate-total bet
50+ rush yards is +320, a strong value based on this projection.
Jalen Hurts passing yards
Prop: Over 212.5 yards (-125 at Caesars)
Projection: 242.9 yards
After throwing for 246 yards in the NFC title game, our projections expect Hurts to again easily soar past his posted total, which is his highest since the start of December.
Alternate-total bet
225+ shows value at +107 — but 250+ yards is not worth it at +190.
A.J. Brown receiving yards
Prop: Over 71.5 yards (-125 at Caesars)
Projection: 89.5 yards
Projections expect a big day for A.J. Brown, who averaged 87 yards per game before a three-game lull to start the playoffs. However, he went off for 96 yards in the NFC title game and should be the focal point if Hurts indeed passes a lot.
Alternate-total bet
80+ yards at +115 is a strong play, while 90+ shows less value at +180 but is still playable.
Saquon Barkley rushing yards
Prop: Under 113.5 yards (-120 at Caesars)
Projection: 92.8 yards
A rare Under bet, but our projections don't expect another monster rushing game from Saquon Barkley, forecasting him to finish almost 20 yards below his posted total.
Patrick Mahomes rushing yards
Prop: Under 29.5 yards (-110 at Caesars)
Projection: 22.9 yards
Patrick Mahomes always seems to use his legs at the most critical moments, and while that may still be true on Sunday, our projections don't expect the Chiefs star to top 30+ rushing yards; something he's done just twice in his last seven games and four times all season.
Patrick Mahomes passing yards
Prop: Over 252.5 yards (-110 at Caesars)
Projection: 268.5 yards
Now... his passing is a different story, as he's projected to go slightly Over his posted total in New Orleans.
Xavier Worthy receiving yards
Prop: Over 55.5 yards (-115 at Caesars)
Projection: 64.9 yards
Xavier Worthy has been the breakout star for the Chiefs in the second half of the season, and our projections expect him to follow an 85-yard effort in the AFC title game with another big day on Sunday.
Kareem Hunt receiving yards
Prop: Over 6.5 yards (-115 at Caesars)
Projection: 10.4 yards
Kareem Hunt isn't as active in the passing game as he once was, but our projections like him to go Over this low total — something very possible as he has at least one catch in 13/15 games this year.
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