Cooper Kupp’s triple-digit receiving total might be scaring some bettors away from taking the plunge on the valuable receiver's Super Bowl odds, but there are other markets we’re targeting for the game-breaking wideout in Super Bowl 56.
He will be facing a Cincinnati defense that has struggled all year with giving up explosive plays and now has to contain a receiver who saw nearly 40% of his receptions go for 20-plus yards — our Super Bowl player prop pick will examine if he will be able to pull off another big downfield passing play in the Big Game.
Super Bowl 56 longest reception odds
The odds below represent the best odds available for each player's touchdown market from regulated US sportsbooks.
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Cooper Kupp longest reception pick
- Cooper Kupp longest reception Over 27.5 yards
Pick made on February 3, 2022.
We won’t waste your time with many superlatives describing Cooper Kupp, but this is a receiver who has 13 games of 100+ yards on the season and has a favorable matchup in this year's Big Game.
On the season and including the playoffs, the Bengals’ defense sits outside the Top 10 in EPA/dropback. Despite trying to keep things underneath, the Bengals’ defense gave up a pair of receptions of 30-plus yards versus the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game.
It wasn’t just Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman who ripped off big gains versus the Bengals, A.J. Brown hauled in two passes of 40-plus yards in the Divisional round while DeSean Jackson and Darren Waller had catches of 23-plus yards in the Wild Card game.
Only one team allowed more explosive passes than the Bengals this year and their 9% explosive pass rate allowed is a Bottom-10 mark. Kupp can stack yards before and after the catch and his ability to line up all over the field gives him a big advantage to attack the weakest member of the Bengals secondary — Eli Apple.
Of Kupp’s 145 (!) catches in the regular season, an incredible 57 of those went for 20-plus yards. He led the league in catches of 20-plus yards, 30-plus yards, and finished second in catches of 40-plus yards. Kupp had 142 receiving yards versus the 49ers with a long of 25 but uncharacteristically dropped a house call early in the game. Of those 142 yards, 66 came after the catch. Kupp had a 70-yard touchdown grab versus Tampa Bay and a long of 29 yards in the Wild Card round.
Matthew Stafford looks to be getting healthier and McVay dialed up the passing attacked substantially in the Conference Championship compared to the Wild Card and Divisional rounds.
The Bengals are a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of generating pressure while the Rams’ offensive line has conceded just five sacks so far in the postseason which is impressive considering the Buccaneers and 49ers finished in the Top 7 in sacks. Stafford should get all the time he needs to continue taking shots down the field while Kupp is one of a handful of receivers who is just as dangerous on shorter routes for busting big gains.
This is a Bengals defense that has given up big plays all season and now they’ll be facing the best receiver in the game. We’re riding the Over on Kupp’s longest reception that is sitting at 27.5 yards and this is a great derivative market for bettors not wanting to hit the Over on his receiving total of 104.5 yards.
