Super Bowl 57 provides us with a compelling affair between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. There is no overwhelming favorite according to Super Bowl odds, and a high total suggests that this one won’t be a snoozer.
I’ve assembled a pair of Same Game Parlays for my Super Bowl picks, with one focused on the Chiefs and the other on the Eagles. Find out more in my latest Super Bowl player props.
Conference Championship NFL same-game parlay picks
- Pachecho anytime TD + Pacheco Over 47.5 rushing yards + McKinnon Under 5.5 rush attempts = +650
- Hurts anytime TD + Goedert anytime TD + Watkins Over 1.5 receptions = +1,363
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Looking to bet on Super Bowl 57? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet of up to $3,000! Sign Up Now
B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best Super Bowl betting promotions.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Parlay Pick 1
Isiah Pacheco anytime TD
Isiah Pacheco Over 47.5 rushing yards
Jerick McKinnon Under 5.5 rushing attempts
Isiah Pacheco has assumed command of the Kansas City Chiefs backfield due to a perfect storm of circumstances. Not only has the rookie rusher done enough to earn the job on merit, but he’s also seen Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon suffer injuries during the campaign to help him move up the depth chart.
CEH is likely to be added to the Chiefs’ active roster for Super Bowl 57, but I wouldn’t expect him to be a major participant. Meanwhile, McKinnon is dealing with an ankle injury and his usage has declined as the season has progressed.
Kansas City has yet to score a rushing touchdown in these playoffs, but that seems due to change considering the Chiefs ranked seventh in the NFL in 2022-23 with 18 ground scores. Pacheco is averaging 13.5 carries over his last 11 games, making him a prime candidate to plunge in for a rushing touchdown. The rookie running back had four scores in the final seven games of the regular season.
Pacheco is averaging 5.1 yards per rush since Week 10, meaning he would need only 10 carries to clear his relatively low total of 47.5. Assuming the Chiefs’ defense isn’t completely overwhelmed by the Eagles' attack, Pacheco should secure double-digit carries against a Philly defense that ranked 24th in yards allowed per rush (4.6).
McKinnon has received five or fewer handoffs in four of his last five overall. Even his production in the passing game has dried up, as he’s hauled in two or fewer passes in three straight contests. The veteran back should not be expected to make a significant contribution to the Chiefs’ ground game on Sunday.
Parlay Pick 2
Jalen Hurts anytime TD
Dallas Goedert anytime TD
Quez Watkins Over 1.5 receptions
Jalen Hurts has gone through a year very similar to the one Lamar Jackson had in 2019 when he took home the NFL MVP Award. In addition to passing for 22 touchdowns, Hurts added 13 with his legs in only 15 regular season games. The Eagles quarterback is averaging 11 rushes per game for 4.6 yards a carry, so he’s not just getting lucky with quarterback sneak scores.
With two rushing touchdowns to his name already in these playoffs, a Hurts visit to the end zone looks like a solid way to start this all-Philadelphia Eagles SGP.
I’m also adding a Dallas Goedert touchdown to the docket. The Eagles' tight end faces a Chiefs defense that surrendered nine touchdowns to the position this year — the fifth-worst mark in the NFL.
Goedert has received a 25.6% target share in the red zone this year, which spells trouble for Kansas City. Their unit was 30th in red zone defense this season, allowing opponents to convert 65.6% of their trips inside the 20-yard line into touchdowns.
Goedert may not get the most attention of Hurts’ potential receivers, but he’s hauled in a solid 10 of 11 targets this postseason. That’s enough production to justify taking Goedert to score a touchdown and juice up this SGP.
Finally, I’ll add Quez Watkins Over 1.5 receptions to make it a three-leg parlay. Watkins has faded into the background during the playoffs thanks to some incredibly positive game scripts, but he was an underrated part of the Eagles’ aerial assault in the regular season.
From Week 9 until the end of the regular season, the speedy Watkins had at least two grabs in every single game with Hurts as the starter.
