Super Bowl 57 Bet Now, Bet Later: Hop On the Total But Hold Out for Philly

Just two teams remain as the Philadelphia Eagles will do battle with the Kansas City Chiefs on February 12 for Super Bowl 57. Hop on the Under at the highest number you can right now, but hold off on any spreads if you like the Eagles.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 29, 2023 • 23:13 ET • 4 min read
Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Super Bowl betting is a weird and wild two-week wait until the Big Game, with the odds analyzed and over-analyzed by just about every bettor with a dollar to burn. The most important action, however, shows up in the first few hours after the Super Bowl odds hit the board.

If we look at the past 15 Big Games, the early action and initial line move has been on the right side of the Super Bowl odds in 11 of those contests. So pay close attention to the opening spread and where that bad boy moves first.

If you’re looking to take the fight to the bookies for one last time this football season, make sure you get the best odds for your opinion on either the Eagles or Chiefs. Here are the Super Bowl odds to bet now, and the odds to bet later.

Super Bowl 57 bet now, bet later picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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This Big Game total opened as big as 51 points and has since sunk to 50 at some books, with many other books using that number as their opener. We’re now seeing some respected bookmakers hanging an Over/Under of 49 points in the first minutes of action.

Sure, Kansas City and Philadelphia have a surplus of weapons on offense, but we also have two very stellar stop units, headlined by two nasty pass rushes. 

The Chiefs just limited the Bengals to 20 points — an offense that was rolling over foes in the second half of the schedule. In fact, Kansas City has allowed 20 points or less in four of its last five games going back to Week 16.

Philadelphia may have caught a lucky break with the early injury to San Francisco QB Brock Purdy pulling the plug on the 49ers’ scoring attack in the NFC Championship, but we can’t sell this stop unit short. It stymied the Giants for only seven points in the Divisional Round and has given up 20 or fewer points in five of the previous six outings.

This is the Super Bowl and the most publicly bet game in the land, so the Over does attract a lot of action. I mean, no one wants to watch a low-scoring Super Bowl. That said, the Big Game has pumped out the Unders in recent years, with each of the last four games staying below the total.

Grab the tallest Super Bowl LVII total you can right now and go Under.

Best odds to bet Under 50 right now

When odds hit the board following the Chiefs’ win over the Bengals, DraftKings books opened Philadelphia -1.5, which instantly dropped to -1. Other operators hung anything between Kansas City -1.5 to a pick’em.

That market consensus started to take shape in the minutes after opening as action flowed in, and many books moved the Super Bowl LVII spread to Eagles -1 with some spots as high as -2.

As mentioned above, the first line move is often toward the team that covers the Super Bowl spread. That would be Philly. However, I do believe we will see money on the Chiefs over the next two weeks that will take some books back to pick’em and eventually Eagles +1 or higher.

There is definitely a narrative there to support play on Kansas City, considering a one-legged Patrick Mahomes now has two weeks to heal his aching ankle and this Philadelphia defense hasn’t faced a quarterback of his caliber, well… all season.

If you believe in that little betting tidbit about early line moves and more importantly, believe in the Eagles, wait this short spread out and see if you can get Philadelphia at a pick’em or even plus a point by the time Super Bowl LVII kicks off on February 12.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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