Canadiens vs Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Back on the top line alongside Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield, Kirby Dach highlights our NHL picks below.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Nov 5, 2024 • 11:48 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 2 hrs
MON
46 %
CAL
54 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kirby Dach o1.5 shots (-135) Kirby Dach o1.5 shots (-135)
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Kirby Dach Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Montreal Canadiens host the Calgary Flames at the Bell Centre on Tuesday, November 5, and the pair of Canadian clubs are both looking to snap losing streaks.

Montreal head coach Martin St. Louis has moved forward Kirby Dach back to the top line, and our Flames vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks are anticipating Dach to continue clicking alongside linemates Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield.

Canadiens vs Flames prediction

My Canadiens pick
Kirby Dach Over 1.5 shots (-135 at BET99)

My Canadiens analysis
Montreal Canadiens winger Kirby Dach returned to the No. 1 line with Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield during Saturday’s game against the Penguins, and the trio remained intact during Monday’s practice. It’s a clicking line for the Habs.

Suzuki, Caufield, and Dach have posted an impressive 53.8 Corsi For percentage and 59.0% shot share at 5-on-5 this season, while Suzuki and Caufield have been on the ice for respective 37.4% and 41.5% marks without Dach. 

Similarly, Dach has a 35.3 CF% and 38.1 SF% at 5-on-5 when jumping the boards without Suzuki and Caufield.

The trio also has been dangerous with a 55.24 expected goals percentage at 5-on-5, and all three jump the boards with the No. 1 power-play unit. The Calgary Flames have also taken the ninth-most minor penalties at 5-on-5 this season, so the Habs should have some power-play looks tonight.

Additionally, Dach has recorded 2+ shots in three of four games when playing the bulk of his even-strength minutes with Suzuki and Caufield. 

The Flames have also been loose defensively and allowed the seventh-most shots per game (37.1) while posting a 21st-ranked 48.3 CF% at 5-on-5, so Dach and his linemates are set up to tilt the ice in their favor. Calgary has allowed the eighth-most shots per game (11.67) to opposing wingers, too.

Canadiens vs Flames same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 6.5

Kirby Dach Over 1.5 shots

Rasmus Andersson Over 2.5 shots

The Flames have played to the Under in four straight and eight of their past 10, while the Habs snapped a lengthy Over run during their 3-1 loss to the Penguins on Saturday. Calgary has been excellent defensively, while Montreal has been plagued by a 30th-ranked .878 team save percentage at 5-on-5.

I’m anticipating better goaltending from the Habs. The Flames also have generated the eighth-fewest expected goals per 60 minutes (2.46) at 5-on-5 while posting a 22nd-ranked 16.2 PP%.

Calgary defenseman Rasmus Andersson has paced the club in ice time per game (24:14) and quarterbacks the No. 1 power-play unit. He’s recorded seven shots on 13 attempts across the past two games, and Montreal is a favorable matchup for opposing shooters. 

The Canadiens have surrendered the fifth-most shots per game (31.9), including the sixth-most to defensemen. Montreal also ranks 31st with a 42.7 CF% at 5-on-5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Canadiens vs Flames odds

Canadiens vs Flames live odds

Canadiens vs Flames opening odds

  • Puck line: Montreal +1.5 (-245) | Calgary -1.5 (+200)
  • Moneyline: Montreal +100 | Calgary -120
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Odds courtesy of BET99.

Canadiens vs Flames trend

The Flames have played to the Under in four straight games and eight of their past 10 games. Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Flames.

How to watch Canadiens vs Flames

Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date: Tuesday, 11-5-2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN2

Canadiens vs Flames latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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