The Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals are each coming off big wins in their most recent games. These offenses are firing on all cylinders, but the goaltending is also a strength of both teams, so it will be interesting to see which team prevails.
Find out why my best Avalanche vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks for Wednesday, November 27 are leaning on the Over.
Capitals vs Lightning prediction
My best bet
Over 6.5 (+100 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning are both in the Top 5 of the NHL when it comes to scoring. The Capitals lead the league, averaging 4.05 goals per game, while the Lightning are fifth while scoring 3.80 goals per game.
The Bolts are coming off a game against a strong Colorado Avalanche team where they put up five goals in the first period and won by the score of 8-2. Of course, Colorado has been a bit sloppier defensively than Washington, but Tampa’s offense should still be able to generate plenty of opportunities tonight.
Tampa is generating the 10th most high-danger chances per contest, skating to 12.21 per 60 minutes. The Capitals are in the middle of the pack when it comes to allowing high-danger chances (11.21).
Tampa has been getting offensive contributions from plenty of different guys in the month of November. Since the first of the month, Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, and Anthony Cirelli have all been producing at least a point per game. Cirelli has been hot with seven goals in 10 games, and Brayden Point has tallied six goals in his last six games.
Let’s flip over to the Capitals, who have now played three games without their captain Alexander Ovechkin since he was injured vs. Utah. Dylan Strome continues to produce at a rapid rate for the Caps, with 16 points in his last 12 games with some help from Connor McMichael, Aliaksei Protos, and Pierre-Luc Dubois.
These two teams met earlier in the season and it resulted in a 3-0 win for Tampa, but tonight should be a bit more offensive.
Capitals vs Lightning same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 6.5
Brayden Point 1+ points
Nikita Kucherov 4+ shots on goal
Point does nothing but produce. He has points in eight of his last nine games and has been one of the most consistent forwards in the NHL over the past few seasons. Point will get his opportunities on the power play tonight, which is the eighth-best in the league right now at 23%. Their man-advantage has converted on four of their last seven attempts.
Kucherov has tallied at least four shots on goal in three of his last four games and he is averaging 3.82 shots on goal per game. He is the driver of the Lightning offense as it all goes through him, so I would expect nothing less tonight.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Capitals vs Lightning odds
Capitals vs Lightning live odds
Capitals vs Lightning opening odds
- Puck line: Washington +1.5 (-210) | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+168)
- Moneyline: Washington +120 | Tampa Bay -144
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+100) | Under 6.5 (-122)
Capitals vs Lightning trend
The Over has hit in two of the last three Lightning games. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Lightning.
How to watch Capitals vs Lightning
| Location: | Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-27-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT, MAX |
Capitals vs Lightning latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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