The Carolina Hurricanes visit the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center for a Metropolitan Division matchup on Wednesday, November 20.
While Philly has strung together a solid 4-1-1 stretch, they draw a tough opponent tonight. My top Hurricanes vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks expect Carolina to pad the win column with a road victory tonight.
Hurricanes vs Flyers prediction
My best bet
Hurricanes in regulation (-133 at Pinnacle)
My analysis
The Carolina Hurricanes are running over teams, per usual, and their underlying numbers are jaw-dropping once again with an NHL best 59.8 Corsi For percentage and 58.8 expected goals percentage at 5-on-5.
Carolina also sports an eighth-ranked power-play percentage (23.7%) and fifth-ranked penalty-kill percentage (85%). Still, this handicap is more about the negative regression coming for the Philadelphia Flyers.
Philly is flying along on a 4-1-1 stretch, but just a single win came in regulation. Additionally, the Flyers have seen their team shooting percentage (9.15%) and team save percentage (.942) skyrocket from 7.85 and .869 figures through their first 13 games.
Philadelphia deserves credit for its 50.0 xGF% during the run because they had a miserable 43.9% mark prior. Still, the Flyers haven’t improved their possession game with their 45.4 CF% only slightly above the 45.0% share through their first 13 contests.
Simply put, Philadelphia is riding an unsustainable scoring surge paired with elite goaltending at 5-on-5.
The Flyers are turning to Ivan Fedotov between the pipes Wednesday, and he sports an .856 save percentage and 3.98 GAA with -10 goals saved above average across just nine NHL appearances (seven starts).
Carolina cruises tonight.
Hurricanes vs Flyers same-game parlay (SGP)
Hurricanes in regulation
Andrei Svechnikov 3+ shots on goal
Jordan Martinook 2+ shots on goal
As noted, the Flyers aren’t a strong possession team and sport a 28th-ranked 45.1 CF% for the season at 5-on-5, while Carolina wingers Andrei Svechnikov and Jordan Martinook enter with respective 59.4% and 61.5% marks.
Additionally, Svechnikov paces the Hurricanes in shots (12.3) and attempts (22.8) per 60 minutes, and Martinook has recorded two or more shots in each of his past eight games.
Finally, I also value that Svechnikov and Martinook have only shared the ice for 2:45 this season, so they won’t steal shooting opportunities from one another.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Hurricanes vs Flyers odds
Hurricanes vs Flyers live odds
Hurricanes vs Flyers opening odds
- Puck line: Carolina -1.5 | Philadelphia +1.5
- Moneyline: Carolina -216 | Philadelphia +188
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Hurricanes vs Flyers trend
The Carolina Hurricanes have won 13 of 19 games in regulation this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Hurricanes vs. Flyers.
How to watch Hurricanes vs Flyers
| Location: | Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-20-2024 |
| Puck drop: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Hurricanes vs Flyers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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