Avalanche vs Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Playoffs Game 5

Rosales' prediction: With so much on the line, both the Avalanche and Stars will amp up the aggression as this Best-of-7 becomes a Best-of-3. As such, the Over 5.5 is the line to target.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Apr 28, 2025 • 12:30 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
DAL
56 %
COL
44 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o5.5 (-140)
Read Analysis
Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

After splitting the first four games in this series, it’s down to a Best-of-3 between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars, who clash in pivotal Game 5 tonight.

Our Avalanche vs Stars predictions have the visitors keeping the momentum on the road in a game that will push one team to the brink of elimination.

However it shakes out, our NHL picks anticipate plenty of scoring on Monday, April 28, with the puck set to drop at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Who will win Avalanche vs Stars Game 4?

It was just one game, but the Colorado Avalanche's offense finally found its groove.

Colorado peppered Jake Oettinger in Game 4, sending him to the showers early after scoring three goals on 34 shots through two periods. Overall, the Avs outshot the Dallas Stars 48-23.

Their formula comes down to the number four. As in, Colorado is 5-0-0 in its last five games against the Stars when it scores four goals.

Despite the hostile environment, I like Colorado’s offense to travel and be successful.

Avalanche vs Stars prediction

My Avalanche vs Stars pick: Over 5.5 (-135 at BET99)

We always knew Nathan MacKinnon would show up — he scored his fourth goal of the series in Game 4 — but we’re finally starting to see others contribute in this series.

None might be more inspirational than Gabriel Landeskog, who hadn’t played since the 2022 Stanley Cup Final. In just his second game back, he recorded a multi-point game.

For the Stars, bouncing back shouldn’t be a problem. They were only shut out just once in the regular season, losing 4-0 to the Winnipeg Jets earlier this month.

But it’s getting close to crunch time, and without Jason Robertson, they need some of their other scoring options to come through.

That includes Wyatt Johnston, who’s yet to find twine in this series despite tallying 33 in the regular season. Then there's Roope Hintz, who has just one goal after notching 28 in the regular season.

Anything more than zero will help Oettinger, who has allowed at least three goals in three of the four games and has been chased out of the net twice.

And even though Mackenzie Blackwood picked up the shutout and sports a 1.60 goals-against average in the playoffs, he was lit up for four goals in last Monday's OT loss in Dallas.

We’ve had almost everything in this series so far. With so much on the line tonight, I think these elite offenses let it all hang out in the quest to win the all-important Game 5.

Avalanche vs Stars same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 5.5

Roope Hintz Over 0.5 points

Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 shots on goal

If you’re looking for a goal scorer to break out, try Hintz. He was the lone player to score a goal for the home team in Game 1, and he’s lit the lamp twice in the last three regular-season games against Colorado. We'll take him to get a point to be safe, but an anytime goal leg would juice up the odds a bit more.

MacKinnon has been easily the most prolific shot-taker in this series, firing 24 shots over the first four games.

He topped his 4.5 line total twice in his series, including in Game 1, when he had two goals and an assist in the 5-1 win.

MacKinnon has had at least four shots on goal in every game this series, and he should be prominent in this biggie.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Avalanche vs Stars odds

Avalanche vs Stars live odds

Avalanche vs Stars opening odds

  • Puck line: Colorado -1.5 (+175) | Dallas +1.5 (-215)
  • Moneyline: Colorado -135 | Dallas +115
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 (+115)

Odds courtesy of BET99

Avalanche vs Stars trend

Nathan MacKinnon has five points in four games this series. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Stars.

How to watch Avalanche vs Stars

Location American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date Monday, 4-28-2025
Puck drop 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Avalanche vs Stars latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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