
College Basketball Picks & Best March Madness Bets Today
Today's NCAAB Picks



The Michigan State Spartans are elite on the backboard and well-built to take advantage of Mississippi's weakness in rebounding. We're hitting the prop market to take advantage of this with Jaxson Kohler Over 6.5 rebounds. I expect a relatively low-scoring game with two teams that can defend each other well. I saw a small amount of value in what is already the lowest total of the day. With an increase in misses comes an increase in rebound opportunities. Kohler is easily the best rebounder on the floor. When the two lineups come out, he'll have the highest defensive rebounding percentage of any player on the floor and the highest offensive rebounding percentage of anyone on the floor. This one seems straightforward. I'd actually play this to 7.5 as I project a rebound total of 8.1.
Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 14 hrs, 54 min ago.



The Rebels are coming off an upset win against Iowa State but their run ends here. MSU is No. 7 in KenPom ratings while Iowa State was No. 11. However, the Spartans are 3-point faves while the Cyclones were -5.5 despite missing one of their best players in Keshon Gilbert. The Spartans are fifth in the country in adjusted defense. They allow few shots at the the rim while holding foes to 27.8% shooting from deep. They'll force Ole Miss into tough midrange shots. MSU is also second in the country in rebounding rate (56.7%) while the Rebels are just 318th (46.9%). The Spartans should dominate the glass and cover as short faves.
Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 3 days, 19 hrs, 39 min ago.



This is a math problem for Tennessee. A bad shooting team in general, the Vols still shoot a lot and even more often against Kentucky’s defense, which encourages that bad habit. Meanwhile, Tennessee’s defense also encourages 3-pointers, but the Wildcats were the best shooting team in the SEC this year. This should not be viewed as 3-point variance. This has been a season-long trend that showed itself in both their previous matchups. And no, it is not that hard to beat a team three times in one season. Rick Barnes has lost three times to one opponent eight times in his career, going 1-8 outright in the third matchup when losing the first two meetings in a season.
Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 20 hrs, 44 min ago.



The Wolverines have a clear path to slowing Auburn down. This is too many points, even in what may feel like a proverbial home game for the Tigers. While head coach Bruce Pearl has plenty of March pedigree, Michigan man Dusty May has been to the most recent Final Four — he'll have his team ready.
Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 21 min ago.




There's terrific value in the Under on this number with Bart Torvik projecting a 152-point game and Haslametrics coming in even lower at just shy of 150. Michigan and Auburn both rank in the Top 10 in FG% allowed vs. the average opponent (Haslametrics). The Wolverines' most efficient shot is the mid-range shot (11th), but Auburn is 27th at stopping it. Michigan attemps far more near-proximity shots, but Auburn is ninth at stopping those. On the flip side, Auburn prefers the near-proximity shot but must try them vs. two 7-footers in Danny Wolf and Vladislav Goldin.
Robert Criscola - Pick Made 4 days, 17 hrs, 22 min ago.



When Houston has to focus, its defense is something to marvel at. In its two NCAA Tournament games, the last two games of the Big 12 Tournament, and the last three regular-season games with spreads within three buckets, six of those seven opponents fell short of their team totals, not too surprising for the far and away best defense since Feb. 15. Gonzaga only cracked its Team Total Over last week because it was being so routed, it had to reach into a desperate flurry. The Bulldogs are comfortable at pace; the Boilermakers are not. Purdue might slow down this game further, which will only allow Houston to set its underappreciated defense.
Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 15 hrs, 33 min ago.



Points figure to be extremely difficult to come by here with Purdue ranking 329th in pace and Houston even slower at 359th. In a game that could feature precious few possessions, shooting accuracy becomes crucial. Fortunately for the Boilermakers, they are incredibly accurate from the floor (fifth in FG% vs. the average opponent, per Haslametrics), particularly from distance (fourth in 3P% vs. AO). Houston may move on, but Purdue won't go quietly.
Robert Criscola - Pick Made 4 days, 17 hrs, 10 min ago.
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