Apple TV+

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryan Reynolds has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph mark.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryan Reynolds has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph mark.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jack Suwinski in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Teheran in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Teheran has a large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jack Suwinski in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Teheran in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Teheran has a large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Tucupita Marcano Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

T. Marcano
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Tucupita Marcano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tucupita Marcano will have the handedness advantage against Julio Teheran in today's matchup... and even better, Teheran has a large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tucupita Marcano stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Tucupita Marcano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tucupita Marcano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tucupita Marcano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Tucupita Marcano will have the handedness advantage against Julio Teheran in today's matchup... and even better, Teheran has a large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tucupita Marcano stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Tucupita Marcano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brian Anderson Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Anderson
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brian Anderson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage over Brian Anderson in today's game. Brian Anderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brian Anderson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Brian Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brian Anderson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage over Brian Anderson in today's game. Brian Anderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brian Anderson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Santana
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

L. Urias
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Urias in today's game. Luis Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luis Urias has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 2.06 K/BB rate.

Luis Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Urias in today's game. Luis Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luis Urias has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 2.06 K/BB rate.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Connor Joe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Joe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Connor Joe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames today.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames today.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Joey Wiemer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wiemer today. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Wiemer will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Joey Wiemer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wiemer today. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Wiemer will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects William Contreras in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects William Contreras in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Hedges
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Hedges has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .261 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Austin Hedges has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .261 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christian Yelich as the 17th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Christian Yelich will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Christian Yelich as the 17th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Christian Yelich will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage over Andruw Monasterio today. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 20.5° launch angle in the last two weeks.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage over Andruw Monasterio today. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 20.5° launch angle in the last two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast