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New York @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (21.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 15.4° seasonal mark.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello today. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (21.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 15.4° seasonal mark.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Rob Refsnyder will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Rob Refsnyder will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 37.5% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 37.5% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Triston Casas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 92-mph mark.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Triston Casas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 92-mph mark.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

K. Higashioka
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Billy McKinney Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

B. McKinney
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Billy McKinney will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Billy McKinney tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Billy McKinney has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the past 14 days.

Billy McKinney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Billy McKinney will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Billy McKinney tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Billy McKinney has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the past 14 days.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Volpe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Anthony Volpe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 45.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past week.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Volpe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Anthony Volpe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 45.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past week.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 20th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 20th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Josh Donaldson Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Donaldson
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Donaldson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Josh Donaldson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Josh Donaldson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph average.

Josh Donaldson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Donaldson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Josh Donaldson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Josh Donaldson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph average.

Willie Calhoun Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

W. Calhoun
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Willie Calhoun will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Willie Calhoun hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Willie Calhoun has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV.

Willie Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Willie Calhoun will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Willie Calhoun hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Willie Calhoun has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 87.2-mph.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 87.2-mph.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Bauers
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today's matchup. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Reese McGuire has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today's matchup. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Reese McGuire has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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