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New York @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-205
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-205
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Jeff McNeil in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. In the last week, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 82.2 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 10.4%.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brennan Bernardino will hold the platoon advantage over Jeff McNeil in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. In the last week, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 82.2 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 10.4%.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Carlos Carrasco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Carlos Carrasco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Yu Chang will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yu Chang has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Yu Chang will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Yu Chang has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Adam Duvall will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Adam Duvall will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 30%.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 30%.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Brennan Bernardino today. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18.4%.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Brennan Bernardino today. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18.4%.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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