NBCSP, MASN

Baltimore @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The #3 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for mound aces. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #3 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for mound aces. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Gunnar Henderson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Gunnar Henderson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In notching a .327 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias is positioned in the 77th percentile.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In notching a .327 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias is positioned in the 77th percentile.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Jake Cave has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cave will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cave's true offensive talent to be a .313, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .050 disparity between that mark and his actual .263 wOBA.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Jake Cave has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cave will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cave's true offensive talent to be a .313, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .050 disparity between that mark and his actual .263 wOBA.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Austin Hays's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast