Chicago @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Nico Hoerner has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 82.3-mph in the last 7 days. Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.2-mph EV last year has fallen to 89.1-mph. Over the past 7 days, Whit Merrifield's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Whit Merrifield's true offensive talent to be a .314, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .021 difference between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (19.1°) is considerably higher than his 14.5° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Ian Happ has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's game. The Barrel% of Cavan Biggio has significantly improved, with an increase from 7% last year to 12.4% this season.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. Mike Tauchman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Cody Bellinger hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 42.8% on the season to 69.2% in the last week.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Danny Jansen will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Steele.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Christopher Morel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph figure. In the last week, Christopher Morel's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Alejandro Kirk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's matchup. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Yan Gomes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Seiya Suzuki's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.7-mph now compared to just 89.5-mph then. Seiya Suzuki has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Dansby Swanson has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Santiago Espinal's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the most humidity on the slate today at 80%. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.