Chicago @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner and his 4.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 2nd percentile, among the lowest in the game this year.

The #5 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.2-mph average last year has decreased to 89.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Whit Merrifield's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

The #5 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day. Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the past two weeks. George Springer's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (7.1°) is considerably worse than his 11.5° figure last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Dansby Swanson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95.6-mph.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Cody Bellinger hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 42.9% on the season to 57.1% over the past week. Cody Bellinger has notched a .392 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 96th percentile. Grading out in the 98th percentile, Cody Bellinger has posted a .323 batting average this year.

Cavan Biggio is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 19.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon today. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Nick Madrigal will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Nick Madrigal's launch angle this year (4.1°) is a significant increase over his -0.4° mark last year. Nick Madrigal's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (8.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 0.2° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Matt Chapman has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 28.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.4°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ian Happ has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last two weeks. Ian Happ has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph.

Santiago Espinal's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Santiago Espinal's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.61 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christopher Morel is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Christopher Morel has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Miguel Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Seiya Suzuki has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 112.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 42.8% to 50%.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Patrick Wisdom will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's matchup. Patrick Wisdom has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 14.5% rate last season to 19.8% this year. Patrick Wisdom's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 18.8%. Patrick Wisdom's 98.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 99th percentile this year.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.