ESPN

Atlanta @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. From last year to this one, Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.7% to 11.2%. In the last 14 days, Jeff McNeil has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. From last year to this one, Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.7% to 11.2%. In the last 14 days, Jeff McNeil has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Yonny Chirinos Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Yonny Chirinos Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks. Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (3.6° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 7.5° seasonal figure.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks. Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (3.6° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 7.5° seasonal figure.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Barrel% of Sean Murphy has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.5% last year to 16.7% this year. In the last week's worth of games, Sean Murphy's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Barrel% of Sean Murphy has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.5% last year to 16.7% this year. In the last week's worth of games, Sean Murphy's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 13.6% on the season to 27.8% in the last week's worth of games. Orlando Arcia has notched a .288 batting average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 13.6% on the season to 27.8% in the last week's worth of games. Orlando Arcia has notched a .288 batting average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Riley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 94.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Riley has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 94.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga today.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga today.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos has been hot recently, compiling a 94.3-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos has been hot recently, compiling a 94.3-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Omar Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Omar Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph figure.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to last season, Ozzie Albies has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18.6% to 21.9% this season.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to last season, Ozzie Albies has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18.6% to 21.9% this season.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 27th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all major league stadiums, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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