Los Angeles @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Reese McGuire hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, David Peralta has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 31% of the time. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for David Peralta in today's game. David Peralta has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Masataka Yoshida's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 38.7% on the season to 33.3% over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Masataka Yoshida has had some very good luck this year with his .351 actual wOBA. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Masataka Yoshida ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 3.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Adam Duvall pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage in today's game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 42.2% to 37%. Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .367 rate is inflated compared to his .356 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Rafael Devers has recorded a .278 BABIP this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alex Verdugo has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team today.