MLBN, SNLA, ARID

Arizona @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .291 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .291 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 37.7% on the season to 60% in the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive talent to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 37.7% on the season to 60% in the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive talent to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Peterson
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Jace Peterson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Jace Peterson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.9° mark last year. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jace Peterson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Jace Peterson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Jace Peterson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.9° mark last year. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jace Peterson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 20.5% on the season to 32.4% in the last two weeks.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 20.5% on the season to 32.4% in the last two weeks.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. James Outman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. James Outman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks. James Outman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. James Outman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. James Outman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks. James Outman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (99% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (99% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20%. Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 95th percentile with a 1.37 K/BB rate.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20%. Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 95th percentile with a 1.37 K/BB rate.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive skill to be a .398, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .022 deviation between that figure and his actual .420 wOBA.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive skill to be a .398, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .022 deviation between that figure and his actual .420 wOBA.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

David Peralta's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). David Peralta is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

David Peralta's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). David Peralta is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 15.1%.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 15.1%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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