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ARI vs LAD Consensus Picks
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Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .261 figure is deflated compared to his .291 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 37.7% on the season to 60% in the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive talent to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.
Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Jace Peterson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Jace Peterson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.9° mark last year. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jace Peterson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.4°.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 20.5% on the season to 32.4% in the last two weeks.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. James Outman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. James Outman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks. James Outman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20%. Geraldo Perdomo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 95th percentile with a 1.37 K/BB rate.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alek Thomas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (99% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.
Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

David Peralta's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). David Peralta is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 15.1%.
ARI vs LAD Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 away games (+11.00 Units / 16% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.36 Units / 25% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.89 Units / 18% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 58 away games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 62 away games (-21.11 Units / -29% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 132 games (-17.61 Units / -11% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 65 of their last 110 games (+24.15 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 111 games (+21.75 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games at home (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+7.74 Units / 12% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 123 games (-32.75 Units / -24% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 57 games at home (-17.50 Units / -26% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-8.10 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 5 games (-2.15 Units / -33% ROI)
ARI vs LAD Top User Picks
More PicksArizona Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders |
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | boedad | 5-5-0 | +18415 |
2 | mikers | 7-3-0 | +17555 |
3 | OMREBEL02 | 3-7-0 | +16390 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 3-7-0 | +15640 |
5 | cjrissgoodin | 9-1-0 | +15310 |
6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14965 |
7 | glen2003 | 6-4-0 | +14375 |
8 | lusvegasluva | 3-7-0 | +14310 |
9 | papa1963 | 5-5-0 | +13429 |
10 | BeeRAD | 5-5-0 | +12525 |
All Dodgers Money Leaders |