Milwaukee @ New York Picks & Props

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Andruw Monasterio has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Andruw Monasterio has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 79th percentile with a 2.03 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Andruw Monasterio sits with a .330 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Everson Pereira has been hot lately, putting up a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks. Everson Pereira has shown some good exit velocity benchmarks recently, averaging 98.5-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .056 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 16.4% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #21 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Today, Christian Yelich is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 43.3% rate (99th percentile). Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today. Aaron Judge has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 101-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 97.5-mph average.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rowdy Tellez has experienced some negative variance given the .055 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today. Tyrone Taylor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is considerably lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Willy Adames has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Wells has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 30% of the time in the past week's worth of games.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Oswald Peraza will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswald Peraza's true offensive talent to be a .308, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .070 difference between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jasson Dominguez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. William Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.6-mph in the past week.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph. Anthony Volpe's launch angle recently (23.1° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.1° seasonal mark. In terms of his batting average, Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance this year. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) may lead us to conclude that Jake Bauers has experienced some negative variance this year with his .309 actual wOBA. This year, Jake Bauers's 19.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.