Washington @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams today. Over the past week, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. In the past two weeks, CJ Abrams's 7.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%. In terms of plate discipline, CJ Abrams's talent is quite weak, putting up a 3.57 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 23rd percentile. Ranking in the 21st percentile, CJ Abrams sits with a .278 BABIP this year.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Trevor Williams Checking in at the 20th percentile, Ozzie Albies has posted a .277 BABIP this year.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Allan Winans today. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games. Over the past two weeks, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.1°.

Luis Garcia has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Luis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days. Luis Garcia has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.8-mph over the past 7 days. Luis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 11.9%.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 15% on the season to 0% in the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .356, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .022 disparity between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. Michael Harris II has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 3.91 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today's game. Keibert Ruiz has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks. Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.9-mph over the last week. Sporting a .304 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Keibert Ruiz finds himself in the 20th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jacob Young has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.9-mph.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup.

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 13.7% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jake Alu will hold the platoon advantage over Allan Winans in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jake Alu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.8% up to 7.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Joey Meneses has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 97.5-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Sean Murphy will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Sean Murphy has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.5% last year to 16% this year.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's game.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph average. Ildemaro Vargas has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .245 mark is deflated compared to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today. Eddie Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage today.