Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CIN
@
PIT
Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
MIL
@
WAS
Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
CLE
@
ATH
Sat, May 2 • 4:05 PM ET
HOU
@
BOS
Sat, May 2 • 4:10 PM ET
u9.5 (-138)
Houston’s Spencer Arrighetti and Boston’s Connelly Early each have the highest WAR on their team’s pitching staffs. Arrighetti has won all three of his starts and posted a 2.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP. He’s given up just one home run over 18 innings. Early has a 2.84 ERA and 1.200 WHIP. He’s won two of his last three starts. Both pitchers will be facing offenses still trying to find their way.
BOS (-140)
The Boston Red Sox have a 2.60 ERA and 1.058 WHIP over the last week, (compared to 4.24 and 1.316 for the season). At the plate, Boston lifted its OPS by 100 points, to 11% over league average, compared to 13% under on the season. The Houston Astros are hitting but haven’t gotten the clutch hit. In Friday’s series opener, the Astros hit .306 but went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position.
PHI
@
MIA
Sat, May 2 • 4:10 PM ET
SF
@
TB
Sat, May 2 • 6:10 PM ET
TEX
@
DET
Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
o8.0 (-120)
This game sets up well for the offenses. The Tigers are in a favorable spot and the Rangers have quietly been productive away from home. Texas ranks third in wOBA and fourth in OPS on the road this season, keeping company with teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves. While the Rangers have a higher strikeout tendency than those teams, they’re still dangerous.
DET (-135)
Texas Rangers starter Kumar Rocker relies heavily on the sinker-slider combination, one the Tigers have hit well. Gleyber Torres, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, and Kevin McGonigle are all hitting .290+ with wOBAs of at least .370 against that mix. Expect the bats to do some damage against Rocker, whose results (3.38 ERA) are better than his process (4.11 xFIP, 4.17 SIERA).
LAD
@
STL
Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
There’s no way around it — the Los Angeles Dodgers are “going through it.” That leads to a deflated moneyline price tag, however, so I’ll back MLB’s super team at a reasonable number. That’s what the market does — overreact — when one club (the Dodgers) loses three straight while their opponent (St. Louis Cardinals) wins five in a row. Then we respond to said overreaction. Michael McGreevy’s 2.97 ERA is completely phony, and LA’s lineup should bring the regression that his 6.16 xERA is begging for.
LA’s lineup is poised to break out after averaging 1.7 runs over its last three games. This lineup leads the league in wRC+ (123), and players like Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Tucker should bounce back at a discounted price. McGreevy doesn’t miss bats (sixth percentile whiff rate, 16.5% K rate) and allows loud contact (13th percentile barrel rate). He’s a soft-tosser with sub-Big League stuff, and L.A. bats should punish him accordingly.
ATL
@
COL
Sat, May 2 • 8:10 PM ET
CHW
@
SD
Sat, May 2 • 8:40 PM ET
o8.0 (-104)
Sean Burke has done a better job of limiting hard contact but his home run to fly ball rate is only ~62% of his career average, a sign some regression could be coming. The Padres rank 10th in HR/FB vs. righties over the last month and eighth at home, making them a real test for Burke. Meanwhile, Padres starter Michael King ranks in the 32nd percentile in barrel suppression. The Chicago White Sox sit ninth in homers and fifth in ISO vs. righties on the road so they have the power to capitalize.
SD (-190)
The San Diego Padres have feasted on right-handed pitching at home over the past month, hitting .269 with a .814 OPS and .357 wOBA – all Top-7 marks. They should cause problems for Sean Burke, whose ERA is nearly a full run below his FIP thus far. That’s a red flag.
NYM
@
LAA
Sat, May 2 • 9:38 PM ET
KC
@
SEA
Sat, May 2 • 9:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-110)
Lugo’s underlying profile screams regression. He owns a 3.91 xFIP, 4.31 xERA, and has allowed homers on only 2.4% of his flyballs, not even a quarter of his career rate (11.7%). On the other side, Emerson Hancock has stranded 95.4% of opposing baserunners. That has made his ERA more flattering than it should be. For reference, his previous marks were 71.2% as a rookie and 72.2% last season. With some red flags on both sides, this matchup sets up well for the offenses.
SEA (-140)
Although the Seattle Mariners have been inconsistent this season, their offense has been a clear strength at home, specifically against right-handed pitchers. Seattle currently ranks second against righties in wRC+ at home, trailing only Detroit. Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo will struggle to slow Seattle’s offense. He is sitting in the 18th percentile in whiff rate and is struggling to miss bats, leading to a lot of contact. Lugo also ranks in the 26th percentile in expected batting average. The M's offense is set up for a productive outing tonight.
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
Established in 1995,
All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
