MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Wed, Apr 8 • 12:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's roll with the Pirates here as they are off to a better start overall. The rank inside the Top 12 in all major offensive categories, and should have enough to touch up Michael King, who was hit hard in his last start.

Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill as the 19th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Wed, Apr 8 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Cole Ragans logo
Cole Ragans u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 6.07 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dan Iassogna projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today's game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cole Ragans in today's game.. With a 2.44 difference between Cole Ragans's 13.94 K/9 and his 11.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
CJ Kayfus logo
CJ Kayfus o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects C.J. Kayfus in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and C.J. Kayfus will hold that advantage in today's game.. C.J. Kayfus has notched a .333 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Apr 8 • 1:35 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 11th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average.. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the same side that Chad Patrick throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Apr 8 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
KB
Kyle Bradish u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Projection 5.23 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Bradish is projected to throw 83 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-worst field in the game for strikeouts.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Bradish in today's game.. Considering the 3.01 deviation between Kyle Bradish's 12.61 K/9 and his 9.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest in the majors.. Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Apr 8 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 12th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Josh Naylor has compiled a .283 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Apr 8 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 16° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 16° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, Apr 8 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristian Javier logo
Cristian Javier u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 3.75 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Cristian Javier in the 12th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cristian Javier is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of the day.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the worst park in the league for strikeouts.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.87 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the slate today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Apr 8 • 3:45 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo San Francisco Giants logo u8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Oracle Park is a pitcher-friendly stadium, and I don’t expect Nola to allow many runs here. Plus, even when the Giants get to the Philadelphia bullpen, that doesn’t mean they’re going to magically wake up. San Francisco is struggling at the dish, ranking 29th in runs scored, 29th in OBP, and 28th in slugging.

Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Philly lost 6-0 on Tuesday, as Robbie Ray dominated them. However, today, they’re up against the struggling Tyler Mahle, who has a 7.00 ERA so far. The Phillies’ lineup is also hitting .308 against Mahle across 52 at-bats. Mahle allowed five earned runs last time out to the Mets. Nola, meanwhile, has compiled a 3.18 ERA across two starts, and he’s held this San Francisco lineup to a .178 average across 73 at-bats.

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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Apr 8 • 4:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael McGreevy logo
Michael McGreevy u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 3.33 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael McGreevy in the 7th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.. The Washington Nationals (20.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.. Scott Barry projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.. The Washington Nationals have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy in this game.. Michael McGreevy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.. James Wood has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (10th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Apr 8 • 4:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Ozzie Albies logo Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total Home Runs (+570)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I’m a loyal guy, so when Ozzie Albies goes yard and cashes a +520 dinger yesterday and is fifty points longer today in a good hitting setting, I’m running it back. The switch-hitter always gets a bump in the order vs. lefties and will hit out of the three hole in the Atlanta Braves lineup. His slugging vs. lefties is 100 points better since 2024. He is facing Reid Detmers, who has been overworked early, throwing 199 pitches in two starts and coming off a 104-pitch outing. He hasn’t thrown more than 88 innings since 2023. Albies has also proven he can get to a Los Angeles Angels bullpen that has been punching above its weight early, with some metrics indicating some runs are coming. Ultimately, with low temperatures across the board and some getaway spots, this +570 price in one of the best-hitting settings stands out as a fair +500.

Strikeouts Thrown
Reid Detmers logo
Reid Detmers o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108)
Projection 6.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Reid Detmers in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) calling pitches in today's game.. Angel Stadium grades out as the #6 venue in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage today.. Reid Detmers was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Apr 8 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco u1.5 Total Bases (-164)
Projection 0.68 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup predicts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games today at 48°.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams today.. Jorge Polanco is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best of all teams today).
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Tim Tawa logo
Tim Tawa o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Tim Tawa will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Apr 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle today... and moreover, Boyle has a large platoon split.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Apr 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (-105)
Projection 0.45 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Will Benson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Benson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Will Benson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Will Benson has recorded a .219 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 16° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Ranking in the 99th percentile for power, Eugenio Suarez has paced 44.2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Apr 8 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage today.. Cody Bellinger may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.. The Athletics have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Apr 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
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