MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Jun 17 • 12:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 6th-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.
Total Bases
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Nolan McLean will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 18th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jacob Young is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Luinder Avila will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Young in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for homers.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
FirstInning Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo FirstInning o0.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

This is one of my favorite YRFI spots on the board. Giants starter Adrian Houser enters the day as the worst pitcher on Batters-Box and has struggled mightily in the first inning, posting a 9.00 ERA while allowing opponents to slash .302/.409/.698 through 13 starts. Braves right-hander Grant Holmes is not in much better shape, carrying the third-worst pitcher rating and a 4.83 first-inning ERA. With seven strongly rated Braves bats, five highly rated Giants bats, and a combined nine elite-rated hitters in this matchup, there is plenty of firepower to cash a first-inning run.

Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Jun 17 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Houston Astros logo u8.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Houston's bullpen has been excellent lately, posting a 3.42 xERA while allowing just 0.66 home runs per nine innings and a 7.1% barrel rate over the last two weeks. Detroit's relief corps has also been effective, limiting opponents to a mere 2.8% barrel rate recently.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Peter Lambert's underlying numbers are trending in the wrong direction, as he owns a 5.75 FIP over his last two starts while allowing 2.31 home runs per nine innings and a 42.2% hard-hit rate over the last month. Casey Mize has posted a 2.40 FIP this season and remains a reliable run suppressor.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Blaze Jordan logo
Blaze Jordan o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Blaze Jordan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Blaze Jordan will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in the league.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jun 17 • 3:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u7.5 (-124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Shohei Ohtani has allowed one earned run or fewer in all 12 of his regular-season home starts since joinging the Dodgers and owns a 1.06 ERA this season. Tampa Bay ranks 26th in OPS against righties over the last two weeks. Meanwhile, Shane McClanahan has held opponents to one earned run or fewer in six of his last nine starts and gets a Dodgers lineup that's struggled badly against left-handed pitching lately. The Rays have also gone Under in seven of their last eight road games.

Earned Runs Allowed
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

He's been nearly untouchable at Dodger Stadium since joining Los Angeles, allowing one earned run or fewer in all 12 of his regular-season home starts. Ohtani also carries a sparkling 1.06 ERA into this matchup and draws a favorable opponent in the Rays who ranks 26th in OPS against right-handed pitching over the past two weeks.

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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Jun 17 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Samuel Aldegheri today.
Total Bases
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Samuel Aldegheri throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Jun 17 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Davis Schneider logo
Davis Schneider u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Davis Schneider's batting average ability is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Davis Schneider is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.. Boston's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Davis Schneider, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the handedness advantage over Jake Bennett today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+201)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The New York Yankees infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
Total Home Runs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Robbie Ray will have the handedness advantage over Matt Olson in today's game.
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Jun 17 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of the day (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Hits
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #8 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. T.J. Rumfield pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for T.J. Rumfield in today's game.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Athletics Athletics logo o10.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

It was just last weekend that games in Sacramento were carrying totals as high as 14.5. Tonight, we're getting a total of 10, even though the hitting conditions are once again ideal with double-digit winds blowing out to the home run alley in right-center field. Last night's game produced another four home runs at Sutter Health Park, and there is plenty of reason to expect more offense today. Pittsburgh starter Braxton Ashcraft struggles to keep the ball on the ground, posting a 39% groundball rate, while Athletics starter Aaron Civale is coming off the IL and owns the eighth-worst groundball rate among MLB starters along with the 28th-worst HR/9. If the starters don't give up runs, the bullpens can help. This matchup features the fourth- and fifth-worst bullpens in baseball by ERA over the last two weeks.

Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 field in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the most suitable pitching conditions on the slate.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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