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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 17, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.36 |
-195 
|
o10.5 -114 
|
-1.5 -120 
|
|
5.68 |
+170
|
u10.5 +102 
|
+1.5 +106
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 road games.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 vs. National League West.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Gordons last 6 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+134
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
5.00 |
-148
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Royals are 5-0 in Lugos last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.05 |
+110
|
o8.0 -115
|
+2.5 -325
|
|
5.11 |
-125
|
u8.5 -114
|
-2.5 +234
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-0 in Nolas last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Nolas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-2 in McLeans last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
+104
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
3.98 |
-111
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Valdezs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 8-0 in Feddes last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-120
|
o7.5 -117
|
-1.5 +136 
|
|
4.12 |
+112
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -157
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-2 in Rangers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
-110 
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
3.99 |
-105
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
LA Angels
- Angels are 5-0 in Urenas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+205
SD
@
COL
Thu, Sep 17 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+410)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Merrill has already taken Rockies starter Tanner Gordon deep once in his career, and the Friars star has posted a high-end .203 ISO against righties this season and an overall .260 mark across his past 113 plate appearances. Additionally, Gordon’s served up a .276 ISO to left-handed hitters as as starter at Coors Field this season.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
KC
@
HOU
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+464)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Kansas City catcher should be priced closer to 20.5% (4.9x) than the 5.5x that's available. Houston is rolling with a no-name opener and then a no-name bulk pitcher in Ethan Pecko, who has allowed five dingers in just 23 big-league innings this season. Pecko will have an 80+ pitch leash, so Salvador Perez could see him three times today. The Astros loved how Pecko finished the season last year in Triple-A, but it has not been an easy ride in 2026, as the right-hander owns a 4.94 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP in the tough Pacific Coast League. The Royals have a great pitching matchup indoors to go deep.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jac Caglianone is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Miguel Ullola throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 14th-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Jac Caglianone has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph figure.
PHI
@
NYM
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+285)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Juan Soto has posted a .283 average, .391 ISO, and left the park five times over 46 career at bats against Aaron Nola.
With a .286 ISO and 17.2% barrel rate against Nola’s three most-used pitches this season, there’s every reason to expect Soto’s success to continue.
Soto has also homered in 36% of his games when facing a starter who ranks in the 30th percentile or worse in HR/9 and HR/FB% against lefties.
Total
u8.5 (-119)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I like the Under to 55%.
Nolan McLean allowed just 0.86 HR/9 over 16 starts in pitcher-friendly conditions. He has kept the ball in the park effectively, and that should continue against a Philadelphia Phillies offense sitting last in hard hit rate vs. righties the past month.
Aaron Nola has managed a 3.60 ERA over his last nine starts while allowing 3+ runs just once.
DET
@
CHW
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Randal Grichuk is as fierce as it gets against left-handed pitching.
He is hitting .329 with a .309 ISO and whopping 1.009 OPS when facing southpaws, and he should get plenty of at-bats against Framber Valdez – who has the ability to pitch deep into games even when not at his best.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over up to 53%.
The Chicago White Sox hit for a ton of power vs. left-handed pitching, and they’re one of the best when it comes to getting the ball in the air.
The Detroit Tigers sit ninth in xwOBA against righties the last month. They can certainly get to Erick Fedde and his 24th percentile xERA.
BOS
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 55%. Neither lineup has generated much power lately, with Boston carrying just a .119 ISO over the last week and Texas sitting at .106. The Red Sox bullpen has also been excellent, posting a 2.92 FIP without surrendering a homer recently. That gives the Under several ways to cash.
Moneyline
BOS (-139)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 60%. Sonny Gray gives Boston the steadier starting point after posting a 2.40 FIP without allowing a homer across his last two outings. Texas has shown very little recent power, and its bullpen has been vulnerable. Even with Boston’s offense running somewhat cold, the pitching edge favors the visitors.
MIN
@
LAA
Thu, Sep 17 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
