St. Louis @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #4 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.8-mph. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts has posted a 58° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Ha-seong Kim has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power). Posting a 96.3-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Ha-seong Kim has been in great form in recent games.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Masyn Winn has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Manny Machado has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power).

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-most humidity of all games today at 76%. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Luis Campusano's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game.

Tyler Wade has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.