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MLBN, SCHN, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game. In today's matchup, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game. In today's matchup, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. Kyle Tucker is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. Kyle Tucker is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Justin Turner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Justin Turner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

C. McCormick
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Jeremy Pena's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeremy Pena's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin Kiermaier are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Kevin Kiermaier are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Jose Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Jose Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristian Javier who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 18° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristian Javier who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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