SNY, Bally Sports Network

New York @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-179
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-179
Projection Rating

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. today. In the last 14 days, Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Over the past two weeks, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. today. In the last 14 days, Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Over the past two weeks, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Pete Alonso's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. The standard deviation of Pete Alonso's launch angle has been very consistent recently (34.5° in the last two weeks), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Pete Alonso's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. The standard deviation of Pete Alonso's launch angle has been very consistent recently (34.5° in the last two weeks), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has been hot of late, notching a 101.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has been hot of late, notching a 101.1-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Austin Riley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Austin Riley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Starling Marte has been hot recently, posting a a 66.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Starling Marte has been hot recently, compiling a 104.8-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks. Starling Marte has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the past 14 days.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Starling Marte has been hot recently, posting a a 66.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Starling Marte has been hot recently, compiling a 104.8-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks. Starling Marte has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the past 14 days.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Orlando Arcia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%. In the past 14 days, Orlando Arcia has averaged an impressive 97.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Orlando Arcia's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Orlando Arcia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%. In the past 14 days, Orlando Arcia has averaged an impressive 97.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Orlando Arcia's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Matt Olson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Matt Olson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average ability, Michael Harris II is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand today. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Michael Harris II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his batting average ability, Michael Harris II is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand today. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Michael Harris II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's game. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's game. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Marcell Ozuna will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, batting his way to a .460 wOBA in the last week.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Marcell Ozuna will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, batting his way to a .460 wOBA in the last week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast