Philadelphia @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-driest conditions on the slate at 40%. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Trea Turner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-driest conditions on the slate at 40%. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson today. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot lately, putting up a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Paul Goldschmidt has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time over the last two weeks.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Zack Thompson will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Marsh today. In the past two weeks, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 100% up to 100%. Brandon Marsh has been hot lately, notching a 103.9-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games. Brandon Marsh has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 100% of the time over the last two weeks.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos has been hot in recent games, compiling a 101.4-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 14 days — 110.3-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, compiling a 40.7° angle on such balls in the past 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Nolan Gorman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.

Victor Scott will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Zack Thompson will have the handedness advantage against Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the same side that Zack Thompson throws from, Bryce Harper will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Bryce Harper has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .432.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. J.T. Realmuto has been hot lately, putting up a 97.9-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has been hot recently, hitting his way to a .455 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather report predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Johan Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the same side that Zack Thompson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past two weeks — 108.2-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

Ivan Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.