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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-115 
|
o6.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +162 
|
|
4.25 |
+102 
|
u6.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 |
+145
|
o6.5 -114
|
+1.5 -148 
|
|
4.70 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +146
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-108
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.17 |
-105
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-130
|
o7.5 -133
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.73 |
+115
|
u8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -145
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.01 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +172
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-124
|
o8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.56 |
+106
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 -157
|
Atlanta
Miami
Top Projection
Eury Perez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-143)
o4.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-136
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +127
|
|
3.80 |
+120
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+224
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+194
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.04 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+151
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -129
|
|
4.17 |
-172
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.61 |
-105
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.33 |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
|
5.25 |
+150
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
Athletics
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+120
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.20 |
-130
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +172
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+115
|
o6.5 -135
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+190)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-375
|
o7.5 +110
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.53 |
+305
|
u7.5 -120
|
+2.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2600)
Projection 0.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage today.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .316, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .270 wOBA.
Total Home Runs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2300)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past week, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 18.2%.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Coby Mayo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+214)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brendan Beck throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.. Dylan Beavers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Dylan Beavers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in the game for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Maxwell Clark is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).. In the last week's worth of games, Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88 mph to 86 mph.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Juan Soto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.6-mph figure.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 14.2% to 17.6%.
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Juan Soto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.6-mph figure.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 14.2% to 17.6%.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Charles McAdoo o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Charles McAdoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Charles McAdoo will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Charles McAdoo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game.. This season, Heriberto Hernandez has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.2 mph compared to last year's 93.6 mph mark.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. David Fry is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. David Fry has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 63% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest LF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
TJ Rumfield u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. This contest is expected to have the 2nd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. T.J. Rumfield will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. T.J. Rumfield's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.3-mph in the last week's worth of games.. In the past 14 days, T.J. Rumfield's 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this season (21.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° angle last year.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.. Among all parks, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total RBIs
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+190)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 45.8%.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
