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Houston @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38% rate (95th percentile). Over the last two weeks, Maikel Garcia has been struggling with his launch angle, hitting 0% of his balls over 38°, the threshold at which many balls turn into pop-ups resulting in easy outs.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38% rate (95th percentile). Over the last two weeks, Maikel Garcia has been struggling with his launch angle, hitting 0% of his balls over 38°, the threshold at which many balls turn into pop-ups resulting in easy outs.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today's game. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alex Bregman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Over the past 14 days, Alex Bregman has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 0.5° angle.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today's game. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alex Bregman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Over the past 14 days, Alex Bregman has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 0.5° angle.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 16.7%.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Kyle Tucker projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 16.7%.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Yainer Diaz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a 1° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Yainer Diaz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a 1° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jeremy Pena will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Jeremy Pena has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Jeremy Pena has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a -4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jeremy Pena will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Jeremy Pena has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Jeremy Pena has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a -4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve today. Today, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile). Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jose Altuve has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a -2.8° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve today. Today, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile). Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jose Altuve has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a -2.8° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Yordan Alvarez has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last two weeks.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Yordan Alvarez has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last two weeks.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

C. McCormick
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chas McCormick has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, putting up a 46° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chas McCormick has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, putting up a 46° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand today. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand today. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jose Abreu has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 29.5° angle.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jose Abreu has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 29.5° angle.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. MJ Melendez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. MJ Melendez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Nelson Velazquez has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 49° angle.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Nelson Velazquez has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 49° angle.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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