Houston @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38% rate (95th percentile). Over the last two weeks, Maikel Garcia has been struggling with his launch angle, hitting 0% of his balls over 38°, the threshold at which many balls turn into pop-ups resulting in easy outs.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today's game. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alex Bregman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Over the past 14 days, Alex Bregman has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 0.5° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Spencer Arrighetti will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 16.7%.

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Yainer Diaz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a 1° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jeremy Pena will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Jeremy Pena has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Jeremy Pena has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a -4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve today. Today, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile). Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jose Altuve has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly in recent games, notching a -2.8° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Yordan Alvarez has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand today. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Chas McCormick has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, putting up a 46° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.

Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jose Abreu has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 29.5° angle.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. MJ Melendez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

This matchup is predicted to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Nelson Velazquez has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 49° angle.

Jonathan Singleton has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.