Milwaukee @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Willy Adames in today's game. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) provides evidence that Willy Adames has been lucky this year with his .252 actual batting average.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today's game. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 3.9°. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 46.1% on the season to 21.4% in the last week's worth of games.

Rhys Hoskins's BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will not have the upper hand today. Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Posting a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Rhys Hoskins is positioned in the 25th percentile for hitting ability. Placing in the 4th percentile, Rhys Hoskins sits with a .239 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand in today's game.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Chourio in today's game. Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (99th percentile). Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Jackson Chourio's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.8%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Tyler Stephenson has a tough challenge today. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 42.4%. Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .346 rate is inflated compared to his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Last year, Andruw Monasterio had an average launch angle of 10.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.6°.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, William Contreras will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. In the last two weeks, William Contreras's 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.6%. William Contreras has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .285 BA is inflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Dominic Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #9 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. T.J. Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Gary Sanchez pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #9 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #9 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. This game is predicted to have the 7th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Luke Maile has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .204 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #5 park in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 95°. Blake Perkins has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Posting a .346 BABIP this year, Blake Perkins grades out in the 95th percentile.

Noelvi Marte has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.