San Francisco @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 5th-best among every team today. Against the weak defense of San Francisco's 3rd-worst infield on the slate), Yandy Diaz has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies. In the past 14 days, Yandy Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Harold Ramirez usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 5th-best among every team today. Over the past two weeks, Harold Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-22°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of -11°. Harold Ramirez has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the last 14 days.

Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage against Amed Rosario in today's game. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Typically, bats like Amed Rosario who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Webb.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Patrick Bailey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey has been hot recently, notching a 98.4-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Jorge Soler has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 12° compared to his seasonal mark of 6.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Richie Palacios is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman has been hot lately, putting up a a 40% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Matt Chapman has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball over the past 14 days — 111.7-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Thairo Estrada has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 95.8-mph in the last 14 days. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 33.3% on the season to 66.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Isaac Paredes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's game.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 3° compared to his seasonal mark of -7°. Jose Caballero has been hot lately, cruising to a .378 wOBA over the last two weeks.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Rene Pinto has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Rene Pinto will hold that advantage today.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. LaMonte Wade Jr. has been hot of late, putting up a .399 wOBA in the past 14 days.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (15° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his -8.5° seasonal mark.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Curtis Mead has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.