MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Mon, May 25 • 1:35 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's game.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Mon, May 25 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Rays are an enigma. No one projected them to even be in the race, and here they are leading the AL East in late May. They've been demonstrably better than the Orioles, who do not have a starter announced. At this number, with Shane McClanahan on the bump for Tampa, there was never an alternative option.

Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Weston Wilson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Mon, May 25 • 2:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski logo
Jacob Misiorowski u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 7.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jacob Misiorowski's four-seamer usage has risen by 6.5% from last year to this one (54.4% to 60.9%) .. Jacob Misiorowski has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 13.89 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 12.12 — a 1.78 K/9 discrepancy.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Mon, May 25 • 2:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami's batting average talent is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Zebby Matthews logo
Zebby Matthews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-138)
Projection 4.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zebby Matthews to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (4th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #28 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chicago White Sox have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in this matchup.. Zebby Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Given the 1.4 disparity between Zebby Matthews's 9.65 K/9 and his 8.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse going forward.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, May 25 • 3:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #10 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ New York Mets logo NYM Mon, May 25 • 4:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Tyrone Taylor logo
Tyrone Taylor u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field projects as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Tyrone Taylor has put up a .261 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.
Total Hits
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Marcus Semien's BABIP skill is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field projects as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Checking in at the 11th percentile, Marcus Semien has posted a .251 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Mon, May 25 • 5:05 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+880)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, May 25 • 6:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-174)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Guardians right-hander Tanner Bibee is the weirdest pitcher in MLB this season. Somehow, he is 0-6 despite a 3.75 ERA and a generally solid FIP. He's not an overpowering hurler, and the Nationals have a dangerous offense, but he's not going to 0-7. I just don't see Zack Littell keeping Cleveland off the board. The only area where Littell thrives is in his 71st-percentile walk rate, which can be construed as a negative. He lives in the zone, and he gets killed in there. 

Total Hits
Angel Martinez logo
Angel Martinez u0.5 Total Hits (+191)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Angel Martinez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate.. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Zack Littell
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, May 25 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Jesus Luzardo's 4.85 ERA is certainly quite poor, but everything under the hood looks solid. He ranks in the 82nd percentile or better in fastball velocity, exit velocity, chase rate, whiff rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, and hard-hit percentage. He's a buy-low candidate in fantasy baseball and a chief reason why I like the Phillies over the Padres here.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez doesn't generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.. San Diego's 2nd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, May 25 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Extreme flyball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Mon, May 25 • 7:07 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Liam Hicks is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage over Trey Yesavage in today's game.. Liam Hicks hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Mon, May 25 • 9:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Shohei Ohtani has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Andy Pages is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 park in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, May 25 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Mariners are deploying starter Luis Castillo as an opener in front of Bryce Miller in the latest gambit to get the veteran right. So far, nothing's worked, as he's 1-5 with a 6.41 ERA in 46 1/3 innings, and the numbers under the hood aren't much better. The A's, notably Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers, will feast on Castillo early at Sutter Health Park in what could be a laugher.

 

Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 88°.
View 11 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 14 times in two meetings vs. the Reds, and they'll do plenty more damage against Brady Singer, who has an 8.47 ERA this month.

Jordan Walker already has three runs, four hits, and seven RBI in the series. His hot streak continues today.

Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three dingers in two straight starts, and 2+ homers in four of his last five. Jordan Walker has gone yard in two straight games and has feasted on right-handed pitching, batting .311 with 11 of his 15 home runs vs. righties.

View 12 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

View 12 Picks

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