Atlanta @ Houston Picks & Props

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Spencer Arrighetti will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Arrighetti's large platoon split. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 7.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 14th percentile.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II today. Michael Harris II's quickness has declined this year. His 28.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.03 ft/sec now.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's game. This season, there has been a decline in Yordan Alvarez's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.86 ft/sec last year to 24.87 ft/sec currently.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Darius Vines throws from, Yainer Diaz encounters a tough challenge today. Yainer Diaz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-deepest RF fences today. In terms of plate discipline, Yainer Diaz's skill is quite weak, posting a 5.21 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 6th percentile.

Chas McCormick's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Chas McCormick has notched a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Chas McCormick grades out in the 76th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's game... and the cherry on top, Arrighetti has a large platoon split. Matt Olson may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros only has 1 same-handed RP.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 14th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Darius Vines in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Abreu has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .227 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 76th percentile, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. As it relates to his batting average, Travis d'Arnaud has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .224 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251. Travis d'Arnaud's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game since the start of last season: 76th percentile. Travis d'Arnaud ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.9% rate since the start of last season).

Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Using Statcast metrics, Austin Riley is in the 89th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .362.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today. Jeremy Pena has recorded a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ozzie Albies's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ozzie Albies and his 18° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 95th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season. Placing in the 86th percentile, Ozzie Albies has put up a .356 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as Orlando Arcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .277 mark is a good deal lower than his .293 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .283 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Because of Spencer Arrighetti's large platoon split, Jarred Kelenic will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Jarred Kelenic will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. Ranked in the 79th percentile, Jarred Kelenic has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (90.8-mph).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Given Spencer Arrighetti's large platoon split, Luis Guillorme will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Guillorme has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like Luis Guillorme are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti.

The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.77 ft/sec this year, Jake Meyers is remarkably fast.