Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.5 ft/sec last year to 28.37 ft/sec currently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .351 actual wOBA.