San Francisco @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Kyle Harrison will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that A.J. Puk throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among every team playing today.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Austin Slater will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against A.J. Puk in today's game.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that A.J. Puk throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an advantage today.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Nick Ahmed hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Ahmed has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .252 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Ahmed grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Avisail Garcia in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Avisail Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today. Avisail Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Posting a .366 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Soler is positioned in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Tim Anderson is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tim Anderson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 75th percentile, Thairo Estrada has put up a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .255 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .294.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. A.J. Puk will have the handedness advantage over Michael Conforto today.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Vidal Brujan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. A.J. Puk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Yastrzemski in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park projects as the #5 park in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. A.J. Puk will have the handedness advantage against LaMonte Wade Jr. in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. has been hot of late, tallying a .438 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Tom Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.