MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

AZ @

PHI Sat, Apr 11 • 1:05 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +170

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +159

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +107

o0.5 +160

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.. Bryce Harper has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+170 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +150

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +137

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +102

o0.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 4th-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game since none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.

+150 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

MIA @

DET Sat, Apr 11 • 1:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-210)

Projection 0.73

Best Odds

u1.5 -210

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -210

Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest expects the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 49°.. Kerry Carpenter pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Kerry Carpenter's skill is quite bad, putting up a 5.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 4th percentile.

-210 at bet365

Total RBIs

Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)

Projection 0.4

Best Odds

o0.5 +275

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +268

o0.5 +275

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +225

o0.5 +147

o0.5 +275

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 19th-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 10th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Owen Caissie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Owen Caissie has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph.

+275 at bet365

View 3 Picks

PIT @

CHC Sat, Apr 11 • 2:20 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-210)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u1.5 -210

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -210

The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the coldest temperature of all games today at 46°.. Michael Busch pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Michael Busch has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 17% rate last year has fallen to 2.8% this year.

-210 at bet365

View Pick

MIN @

TOR Sat, Apr 11 • 3:07 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-165)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u1.5 -165

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -172

u1.5 -165

u1.5 -170

u1.5 -180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. In the majors, the 8th-highest fences are at Rogers Centre.. Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.. Daulton Varsho has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last year has dropped off to 3.1% this season.. Daulton Varsho's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.5-mph EV last year has dropped to 82.9-mph.

-165 at bet365

Total Bases

Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for RHB home runs.. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

+155 at BetMGM

View 7 Picks

CHW @

KC Sat, Apr 11 • 4:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +117

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+190 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +112

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the majors's 3rd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+190 at bet365

View 2 Picks

LAA @

CIN Sat, Apr 11 • 4:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Williamson throws from, Jo Adell will have an edge in today's game.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Jeimer Candelario o0.5 Total RBIs (+241)

Projection 0.48

Best Odds

o0.5 +241

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +241

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +131

o0.5 +220

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup.. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jeimer Candelario has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .190 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .225.

+241 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

ATH @

NYM Sat, Apr 11 • 4:10 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 43 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +140

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jacob Lopez.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.

+150 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+220)

Projection 1.33

Best Odds

o1.5 +220

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +213

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Lawrence Butler has been hot recently, putting up a 95.9-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

+220 at bet365

View 6 Picks

NYY @

TB Sat, Apr 11 • 6:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 -120

Pick made: 37 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -129

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -125

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Aaron Judge's 25.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.

-120 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Austin Wells u1.5 Total Bases (-210)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

u1.5 -210

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Austin Wells is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #28 venue in MLB for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Austin Wells has posted a .228 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

-210 at bet365

View 5 Picks

WAS @

MIL Sat, Apr 11 • 7:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

+160 at bet365

Total RBIs

Joey Wiemer o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)

Projection 0.44

Best Odds

o0.5 +275

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +234

o0.5 +275

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +131

o0.5 +215

Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 park in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in American Family Field.. Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

+275 at bet365

View 2 Picks

SF @

BAL Sat, Apr 11 • 7:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+132)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Rafael Devers as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

+132 at bet365

Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +113

o0.5 +170

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.. In the last 7 days, Matt Chapman's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 113-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

+190 at bet365

View 2 Picks

BOS @

STL Sat, Apr 11 • 7:15 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks

Moneyline

BOS (-138)

Best Odds

-138

Pick made: 6 hours ago

-143

-140

-138

-145

-140

Ranger Suarez is not as bad as his early numbers suggest. The Cardinals once again struggle with production, so give me the Red Sox lineup to do plenty of damage against Kyle Leahy.

Total Hits

Jose Fermin u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +124

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +124

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jose Fermin is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.. Today, Jose Fermin is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (83rd percentile).. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.

+150 at bet365

View 4 Picks

CLE @

ATL Sat, Apr 11 • 7:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Matt Olson u1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Projection 0.82

Best Odds

u1.5 -175

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -175

u1.5 -180

Batting from the same side that Parker Messick throws from, Matt Olson will have a disadvantage today.. In today's game, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.1% rate (76th percentile).. When it comes to his batting average, Matt Olson has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .273 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

-175 at bet365

Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +205

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +179

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an edge in today's game.. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, compiling a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the past week.

+205 at bet365

View 2 Picks

COL @

SD Sat, Apr 11 • 8:40 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Mickey Moniak has posted a 21.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

+185 at bet365

Total RBIs

Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +126

o0.5 +210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences in MLB.. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

+210 at DraftKings

View 3 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

LAD Sat, Apr 11 • 9:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +119

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for right-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

+190 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +113

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

+190 at bet365

View 3 Picks

HOU @

SEA Sat, Apr 11 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick

Moneyline

HOU (+124)

Best Odds

+130

Pick made: 6 hours ago

+123

+125

+124

+120

+130

+125

To say the Seattle Mariners' offense got stuck in the starting gate would be putting it lightly. They are 30th in batting average, OBP, SLG, and OPS. The only reason they are not winless is that their pitching has been solid.

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