Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games today at 30%. Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, William Contreras will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #21 venue in the game for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games today at 30%. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#1-best on the slate today). Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Frelick today.

Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott is very toolsy, checking in at the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.41 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Lars Nootbaar has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .360. Lars Nootbaar has put up a .344 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Brendan Donovan has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .273 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .310. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against D.L. Hall in today's matchup. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jackson Chourio is remarkably fast, checking in at the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage today. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) implies that Jordan Walker has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .264 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ivan Herrera has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .347 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .386.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Willy Adames and his 21° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage against D.L. Hall in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .225 mark is deflated compared to his .367 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 84th percentile. Nolan Arenado has put up a .270 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Willson Contreras is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Oliver Dunn is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Oliver Dunn will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. Oliver Dunn is remarkably fast, checking in at the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.98 ft/sec this year.

Gary Sanchez's 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season. Checking in at the 95th percentile, the hardest ball Gary Sanchez has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.1 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Blake Perkins has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .403 wOBA in the last 14 days.