Toronto @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, George Springer encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jose Berrios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 mark is deflated compared to his .298 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .218 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 96th percentile.

Luis Campusano's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Campusano grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .326 mark is deflated compared to his .362 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.54 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ha-seong Kim has shown strong plate discipline, grading out in the 88th percentile.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Cavan Biggio will have an advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cavan Biggio grades out in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, Cavan Biggio grades out in the 81st percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.7 ft/sec now. As it relates to plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 79th percentile.

In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an edge in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has put up a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Justin Turner has been hot lately, cruising to a .420 wOBA in the last two weeks. Justin Turner has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (85th percentile).

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk's quickness has gotten better this season. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.2 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) implies that Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average. Sporting a 1.04 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alejandro Kirk has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 98th percentile.

In MLB, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Tyler Wade will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Tyler Wade will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .260 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.