ESPN

Texas @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-179
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-179
Projection Rating

Michael Lorenzen will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks in just the 14th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael Lorenzen will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks in just the 14th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Michael Harris II has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 5.3° angle is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (5th percentile). Michael Harris II has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.12 K/BB rate.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Michael Harris II has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 5.3° angle is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (5th percentile). Michael Harris II has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.12 K/BB rate.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of every team in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of every team in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Evan Carter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Evan Carter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Darius Vines throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Darius Vines throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Knizner
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.

Luis Guillorme Total Hits Props • Atlanta

L. Guillorme
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Luis Guillorme will have an edge in today's matchup.

Luis Guillorme

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of the day at 58°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Luis Guillorme will have an edge in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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