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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+210 
|
o9.0 -121 
|
+1.5 +125 
|
|
6.21 |
-240 
|
u9.5 -115 
|
-1.5 -113 
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
o0.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
+106
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -195 
|
|
4.85 |
-118
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
+115
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.69 |
-130
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+132)
o2.5+132
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
-117
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.54 |
+105
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+188
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
+115
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.63 |
-129
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +168
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+240
|
o8.0 -120 
|
+4.5 -334
|
|
5.95 |
-275
|
u8.5 -105
|
-4.5 +260
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.96 |
+100
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
5.12 |
-115
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in Perezs last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+145
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.45 |
-170
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in Wheelers last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 8-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+110
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.55 |
-130
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +188
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.47 |
+300
|
o8.5 -120
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
|
6.20 |
-325
|
u9.0 -120
|
-2.5 +120
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-105
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
|
4.30 |
-108
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Walks Allowed
Griffin Jax o1.5 Walks Allowed (+165)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I bought this at +165 and would play it to +120. I'd take Over 1.5 walks at +150 or better from almost every pitcher in baseball, but even more so with a pitcher who just returned from the IL and struggled in his return. Griffin Jax lasted eight outs on 63 pitches against the Mets in his return to the rotation, but he struggled with his command, issuing two walks while giving up seven hits. That was at home. Now he heads on the road and projects for 1.66 walks on a short leash of 76 pitches, which should be a very accurate pitch count from THE BAT. Since the start of July, Jax has had multiple walks in four of seven starts, and his recent elbow injury isn't helping his command profile. It's going to take a lot of moving toward even money to get me off this prop.
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Konnor Griffin o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. Konnor Griffin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #6 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Rafael Flores Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Rafael Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Rafael Flores's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today (81%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today (81%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This homer bet is on the books at 23.9% and playable to 25% because Crow-Armstrong took Milwaukee starter Logan Henderson deep last week, and his .316 ISO against righties is second in the majors. Additionally, the Chicago star paces the league with 20 homers and a .395 ISO in the second half.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This Over 7.5 is in at 51.2% and recommended to 53.5% because both offenses are rolling at the dish. The Cubbies are fifth in wOBA and third in ISO against righties for the campaign, and they also pace the majors in xwOBA and wRC+ over the past 30 days. It's a similar story for the Brewers, with Milwaukee pacing the majors in wOBA against right-handed pitchers for the year, and they also rank second in wOBA and eighth in xwOBA over the past 30 days.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
The hottest Cincinnati hitter, Elly De La Cruz has homered in each of the last four games and is 13 for his last 25 for a .520 average and 1.080 slugging percentage. That’s a 1.636 OPS and an OPS plus of 352.
Strikeouts Thrown
Yoshinobu Yamamoto o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I bought this at -108 and would play it to -120. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been cashing Overs for four straight starts. He has 34 Ks over his last 25+ innings, is getting a 100-pitch leash, and could flirt with double-digit punchouts today because it's the Reds. Cincinnati is the best strikeout matchup in baseball in the second half, with a 26.2% K rate that tops the league. They have been whiffing at the highest rate in baseball all summer, and with the Reds possibly looking forward to a day off in Los Angeles before a series in Milwaukee on Friday, this sets up as a letdown spot. They're 8.5 games back of the final Wild Card spot and have plenty of reason to start looking ahead. Yamamoto is entering playoff mode just as the Reds are letting their foot off the gas of a long season. There is no reason to get off his Ks today.
TB
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 10 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (-101)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
While Nick Martinez has limited Atlanta hitters to a lifetime .222/.294/.348 slash line, Martin Perez hasn’t fared well against Tampa Bay, with Rays batters sporting a .851 OPS against the veteran southpaw. Take the AL East leaders to grab the road win at Truist Park.
Moneyline
TB (-101)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
While Nick Martinez has limited Atlanta hitters to a lifetime .222/.294/.348 slash line, Martin Perez hasn’t fared well against Tampa Bay, with Rays batters sporting a .851 OPS against the veteran southpaw. Take the AL East leaders to grab the road win at Truist Park.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
